Research · Sep 3, 2026
Meta closed FY25 at $201B (+22%), Family of Apps +22% for fourth consecutive year. Reality Labs loss widened to $19.2B — largest single-year drag in segment history. Capex stepped to $69.7B (34.7% intensity, highest in co history). FCF $46.1B; $31.6B returned to shareholders. 25 analysts, 21 Buy/Strong Buy; median PT $845 but April saw 5 major PT cuts (-$15 to -$129) on FY26 capex guide.
Research · Jun 15, 2026
Trump freezes Anthropic from government AI. META Llama emerges as primary sovereign AI alternative. Potential $500M-$1.25B annual revenue.
Research · Jun 7, 2026
FT reports Meta could raise tens of billions in new equity to fund AI infrastructure. What the dilution risk means for META and the broader Mag 7 capex cycle.
Research · Jun 3, 2026
META is now executing three AI strategies at once — open-source Llama, Alexandr Wang's closed-flagship Muse Spark, and the existing ad-targeting stack.
Research · Apr 30, 2026
Meta's FY2025 Family of Apps revenue grew 22% YoY, but ad impressions grew only 12%, revealing pricing power as the real driver. Consensus expected volume-led growth; instead, pricing discipline and mix shift are outpacing volume. Q1 2026 will test whether this pricing power is sustainable.
Research · Apr 28, 2026
Meta's rumored 10% layoffs (~8,000 jobs in May) aim to fuel AI investments amid Reality Labs losses and headcount growth to 79K. Past cuts boosted margins; this could add $1B+ savings, reinforcing bullish case at 30x P/E. Monitor Q1 2026 earnings for confirmation.
Research · Apr 27, 2026
Mega-cap tech stocks NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, and META rallied into record Nasdaq highs on April 17, 2026, ahead of Q1 earnings. Latest quarters showed 16-73% revenue growth and EPS surges, driven by AI and services, with upbeat guidance signaling momentum. Investors eye beats amid high valuations.
Research · Apr 27, 2026
Clearway Energy's 2 GW hyperscaler power purchase agreements quantify what had been qualitative AI data center power demand, implying $50B annual investment through 2030 is credible. NextEra and Constellation trade at 19x and 12x forward P/E despite positioned for multi-decade contracted revenue streams, while hyperscalers demanding the power trade at 25-35x. Long NEE and CEG targets 15-25% upside over 12 months as Q2-Q4 earnings calls surface similar contract announcements.
Research · Apr 27, 2026
Meta's 8,000-employee May 2026 layoff could deliver $2B in annual savings, enough to shield 38-40% operating margins even as AI capex runs at $35-40B annually. The stock's 24.3x PE underprices the margin stability if cuts avoid core AI talent, offering 28% upside to $670-700 on a re-rating to 28-30x. Thesis breaks if Q2-Q3 2026 earnings reveal <$1.5B savings or AI roadmap delays tied to the restructuring.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
Anchored in the WSJ's April 10 report on White House AI safeguards, this analyzes U.S. federal regulation's impact: compliant giants like ORCL and MSFT win, while NVDA faces curbs. Ranks six stocks by conviction amid rising compliance demands.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
Anthropic's April 9 model launch triggered a software selloff, highlighting OpenAI's slipping frontier AI share. Amazon leads winners via Anthropic ties, while Salesforce faces risks; ranked analysis covers financials and exposure for MSFT, GOOGL, META, AMZN, CRM.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
CoreWeave stock surged 15% in five days after a $21B Meta infrastructure deal announcement on April 9, 2026, highlighting Meta's AI capex surge but raising execution risks amid CRWV's debt raises and lawsuits. Meta's robust $201B FY2025 revenue and $46B FCF position it well, trading at 25x P/E.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
Meta's debut AI model from its superintelligence team validates massive infra bets, driving shares higher as JPMorgan flags stock upside. FY2025 revenue soared 22% to $201B amid CapEx ramp, with guidance signaling further acceleration. Bullish on ad AI monetization outweighing regs.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
Anthropic's Claude Word integration sparked a 22% MSFT drop, highlighting OpenAI's fading edge. AMZN and GOOG emerge as winners via Anthropic ties, while MSFT faces headwinds. Ranks AMZN top for AWS AI upside.
Research · Apr 10, 2026
Bloomberg's alert on Microsoft's AI capex has reignited dot-com bubble fears across Big Tech. This analysis ranks six leaders by overexposure, highlighting MSFT and AMZN as most vulnerable amid soaring spends and frothy multiples.
Research · Apr 10, 2026
Following a 24/7 Wall St analysis of AI selloffs hitting MSFT and META, this comparison shows META as the better buy with faster forward growth (29% revenue vs 19%) at cheaper multiples (19x fwd P/E vs 20x). META's AI ad tools drive margins above 80%, outpacing MSFT's cloud-heavy capex pressures. Recommendation: Buy META for growth at a value price.
Research · Apr 10, 2026
China's DeepSeek AI model launch triggered a sharp selloff in NVDA, AMD, MSFT, and META, erasing billions amid competition fears and safe-haven rallies. WSJ analysis downplays long-term threats, highlighting U.S. moats in compute and data. Stocks rebounded sharply today, with NVDA and META leading on resilient growth metrics.
Research · Apr 9, 2026
Meta's April 8, 2026 debut of its first major AI model—post $14B Alexandr Wang deal—drove a 7% stock surge, validating heavy AI investments amid FY2025's $201B revenue and 82% margins. Early performance rivals leaders, with 1B Meta AI users poised for deeper integration. Bullish outlook as fwd P/E 20x undervalues growth trajectory.
Research · Mar 12, 2026
Oracle's capex-to-revenue ratio of 58% far exceeds Meta's 35% and Microsoft's 27%, and unlike its peers, Oracle's spending exceeds its operating cash flow — pushing total debt to $124.4B with interest coverage of just 4.8x versus 50x+ for Meta and Microsoft. The comparison highlights Oracle's higher-risk, debt-funded approach to the AI infrastructure buildout versus the self-funded strategies of larger hyperscalers.
Research · Mar 12, 2026
Oracle's capex-to-revenue ratio has surged from 5% in FY2021 to 58% TTM, far exceeding peers like Meta (35%), Microsoft (27%), and Amazon (18%), while FCF has turned deeply negative at -21.6% margin. With total debt reaching $124 billion and the most recent quarter showing 75% capex intensity, Oracle's infrastructure buildout demands a dramatic acceleration in cloud revenue to avoid sustained shareholder value destruction.