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JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

NYSE · Financial Services · Banks - Diversified · US

$355.52
−1.81%
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Research · Sep 3, 2026

[JPM] JPMorgan Thesis 2026: Record Earnings Validate Premium Return on Capital

JPMorgan FY25 at $182.4B net revenue (NII $95.4B + NIR $87.0B), $57.0B net income, 20% ROTCE — 3rd consecutive year above 17% through-cycle target. Loans +11% to $1.49T, deposits +6% to $2.56T. NCO rose to $9.85B (card rate 3.31%, consumer 1.37%) — normalization ~70-80% complete. Capital return $48.2B (+43% YoY) — $31.6B buybacks + $16.6B dividends. CET1 14.6%. Narrow PT range $310-$350.

Research · Apr 23, 2026

Which Banks Capture the $197B IPO Wave: Goldman and Morgan Stanley or the Diversified Giants?

Blackstone's Q1 beat and 'best year ever' IPO forecast confirm the $197B pipeline is executable, yet Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley trade at the same 12-13x forward multiple as JPMorgan despite deriving 18-22% of revenue from investment banking versus JPM's 7%. Long GS and MS versus JPM over six months targets 8-12% relative return as Q2 and Q3 underwriting revenue surfaces the fee differential.

Research · Apr 13, 2026

Europe's 21-Hour Trading Days Are Boosting VLO, XOM & CVX Margins

Europe's surging energy market volatility, with traders facing 21-hour days per Bloomberg, spills over to boost US refining margins for Valero, Exxon, and Chevron while supercharging commodities trading at Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan. Recent financials show resilient FCF and margins, with VLO leading price gains at +43% over 3M. Bullish: Buy the dip for volatility-fueled profits.

Research · Apr 13, 2026

Middle East De-Escalation Talks: Why XOM, JPM, and SLB Benefit Most — and OXY Lags

US-Iran ceasefire talks in Islamabad on April 11 signal Middle East de-escalation, favoring integrated oils like XOM and CVX for stable refining, big banks JPM/BAC for lower provisions, and services SLB amid resilient rigs—while upstream OXY lags. Ranked conviction prioritizes cash-rich names. Watch negotiation breakthroughs and oil flows.

Research · Apr 13, 2026

Fed Private Credit Crackdown: JPM at Risk While BX, APO, KKR Stand to Win

The Federal Reserve's scrutiny of banks' private credit exposure creates a divergence in financial stocks: traditional banks like JPMorgan face regulatory risks while alternative asset managers like Blackstone and Apollo stand to gain market share. This analysis ranks six financial giants based on their exposure and positioning for the coming regulatory changes.

Research · Apr 13, 2026

April CPI Spike: XOM and CVX Win as Higher-for-Longer Rates Crush AAL

April's fuel-driven CPI surge signals persistent US inflation, favoring oil majors XOM and CVX with production growth, banks like JPM via NII, while pressuring airlines AAL and rails UNP. Ranked picks prioritize energy exposure at reasonable valuations amid higher-for-longer rates.

Research · Apr 13, 2026

AI Cyber Threat Warning: JPM, BAC Exposed — CRWD, PANW Set to Gain

US regulators' warning on Anthropic Mythos AI cyber threats highlights vulnerabilities at major banks like JPM, BAC, and WFC, while creating tailwinds for cybersecurity leaders CRWD, PANW, and ZS. The article analyzes exposure, financials, and ranks conviction plays amid rising AI-driven risks.

Research · Apr 13, 2026

NFLX, JPM, BAC, WFC Q1 Earnings: Iran Ceasefire Rally Sets Up 10–15% Upside Case

The Iran ceasefire sparked a market rally just as NFLX, JPM, BAC, and WFC kick off Q1 earnings, per MarketWatch on April 9, 2026. Strong guidance, EPS beat history, and cheap bank vals position them to extend gains, with NFLX's ad/live momentum leading. Bulls eye 10-15% upside if beats confirm resilience.

Research · Apr 13, 2026

Hawkish Fed Bets: JPM Leads as NEE, PLD, and HD Face Rate Headwinds

Bond traders' inflation hedges spotlight hawkish Fed risks, positioning banks like JPM and BAC for NIM gains while utilities (NEE, DUK), REITs (PLD), and HD face debt and demand headwinds. JPM tops conviction rankings with superior scale; DUK ranks most vulnerable. Elevated rates reshape sector winners and losers.

Research · Apr 13, 2026

Hot Inflation Kills Rate Cut Hopes: JPM Surges While REITs and Utilities Crack

Hotter-than-expected inflation dashed rate cut hopes, favoring banks like JPM and WFC via NIM expansion while pressuring debt-laden REITs (PLD, AMT) and utilities (NEE, DUK). JPM tops conviction ranks with superior scale; REITs lag on cap rate risks. Prolonged high rates could widen these gaps further.

Research · Apr 10, 2026

10-Year Treasury Yield Outlook: JPM Wins, NEE and AMT Face Debt Squeeze

ETF Trends' March 2026 10-year Treasury yield analysis forecasts elevated rates, favoring banks like JPM and BAC via NIM expansion while pressuring leveraged utilities (NEE, DUK) and REITs (PLD, AMT) on debt costs and valuations. JPM tops conviction rankings for its balance sheet strength; AMT ranks as most vulnerable.

Research · Apr 10, 2026

CFTC vs. Illinois: Why IBKR, CME, and DKNG Are the Prediction Market Winners

CFTC's lawsuit against Illinois boosts prediction markets by asserting federal control, favoring platforms like IBKR's ForecastEx and CME's event contracts. DraftKings, Robinhood, and Coinbase gain from product launches, while JPMorgan eyes indirect entry. Ranked: IBKR > CME > DKNG.