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UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc.

NYSE · Technology · Software - Application · US

$76.08
+0.16%
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Research · Sep 3, 2026

[UBER] Uber Thesis 2026: First Full GAAP Profit Year as AV Integration Reshapes the Take Rate

Uber delivered FY2025 Gross Bookings of ~$182B and Adj. EBITDA of ~$7.7B — the first full year of meaningful GAAP profitability, driven by Mobility take rate expansion to ~31% and Delivery EBITDA margin improving toward 4%. Advertising at ~$1.5B (+40%) is the highest-margin incremental dollar. FY2026 thesis: does Waymo AV integration scale from hundreds to thousands of vehicles creating a structural take-rate improvement, and does the advertising business reach $2B+ driving further EBITDA margin expansion toward 5%+ of gross bookings?

Research · Apr 23, 2026

Uber's 11.5% Lucid Stake: Takeover Fade or Robotaxi Supply Win?

Uber's stake hike to 11.5% in Lucid, plus a 35,000-unit robotaxi order and $1.05B raise, settles partnership over takeover speculation. LCID gains backlog and capital for 95% upside to $5.50 in 12 months; UBER locks EV supply for margin gains. Breaks on production misses or stake trim by year-end.