Research · Jun 8, 2026
QQQ ETF: Why Nasdaq Fell 4% on the Hot May Jobs Report
QQQ slid as Nasdaq dropped 4% Friday — the biggest single-day fall since early 2025. What the hot May jobs report and rising yields mean for the index setup.
QQQ
INVESCO QQQ TRUST, SERIES 1
US
Research · Apr 23, 2026
Iran Shipping Strikes Test Trump’s ‘Dirty Ceasefire’: Will SPY, QQQ Rallies Survive Without Oil Relief?
Iran's shipping strikes challenge the fragile U.S.-brokered ceasefire, sustaining high oil prices and capping rallies in SPY, QQQ, EFA, and EEM. Trim risk assets targeting 4-6% pullbacks in SPY and EEM over the next month amid persistent geo risks. Thesis breaks on formal resolution by early May with crude under $100.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
US-Iran Truce Sparks 3.7% EEM Surge — Should You Rotate Out of SPY and QQQ?
The fragile US-Iran truce, backed by China and UK diplomacy, has sparked a 3.7% EEM surge amid oil's $110+ stubbornness, outpacing SPY/QQQ caution. Emerging markets lead on de-escalation bets, with EFA steady on European gas relief. Bullish EEM target $62 if truce holds.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
US-Iran Talks Collapse Triggers Gulf Selloff — SPY and EEM Relief Rally at Risk
US-Iran talks faltering have sparked a Gulf equity selloff, resurfacing ceasefire doubts and pressuring EEM amid volatile trading. This undermines recent relief rallies in SPY and QQQ, reviving oil shock fears above $110/bbl. Investors should favor US cores over EM until diplomatic clarity emerges.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
SPY, QQQ Jump 3% on Trump Iran Ceasefire — Analysts Now Overweighting Cyclicals
President Trump's Iran ceasefire announcement sparked a 3% rally in SPY and QQQ on March 31, 2026, erasing recent losses from conflict fears. Analysts' new guidance calls for cyclical overweighting amid stabilizing oil and supply chains. Bullish outlook targets further gains if truce holds.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
EEM Surges 3.7% on Iran Ceasefire Talks — Is a Global Equity Rotation Trade Underway?
Iran's announcement of ceasefire enforcement talks with Lebanon bolsters de-escalation hopes, sparking a 3.7% EEM surge amid volatile trading. The move reduces geopolitical risks, favoring emerging and international equities over US indices in a potential rotation trade. Bullish stance with EEM targeting prior highs if truce holds.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
EEM Surges 3.7% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes — Is EM the Better Bet Than SPY or QQQ?
US stocks rebounded on Iran ceasefire hopes holding, with EEM surging 3.7% as oil dipped below $95. Analysis favors EM rotation over SPY/QQQ, with 9% EEM upside if truce endures.
Research · Apr 10, 2026
US-Iran Ceasefire Sparks Global Rally: SPY +3%, EEM +5% — What Comes Next
The April 8, 2026, US-Iran ceasefire, hailed by Trump as a US victory and brokered by Pakistan-China, sparked a global equity rally led by EEM (+5.1%) and SPY (+3.2%). Oil's plunge eases inflation, unlocking upside in tech, EM, and transports while energy lags. Bullish on broad indices with 10-20% rally potential barring truce failure.
Research · Apr 10, 2026
Hormuz Reopening Scenario: XOM Dips 3% While FRO and ZIM Face Tanker Rate Collapse
SPY and QQQ rebounded sharply from key support on March 31, 2026, amid high volume, as technical analysts flag a bull-bear clash at pivotal levels. Sustained holds signal rally resumption; breaks risk deeper declines. Watch weekly closes and macro data for direction.
Research · Apr 9, 2026
OIH Surges 4.2% on Trump-Iran Escalation — Is a Lasting Oil Rally Starting?
Trump's April 7 'die tonight' threat to Iran fueled a 4.2% OIH surge while SPY and QQQ fell, highlighting a risk-off shift to oil services amid geopolitical flare-up. OIH's cheap 14x P/E positions it for gains if tensions hold, versus overvalued broad indices. Bullish OIH, cautious on SPY/QQQ with key catalysts ahead.
Research · Apr 9, 2026
EEM vs. SPY: Iran Ceasefire Oil Crash Opens 9% Upside — Time to Rotate?
US-Iran ceasefire on April 8 crashed oil prices, boosting EEM via Indian equity gains while pressuring SPY's energy weights. EEM eyes 9% upside on cheap inputs; SPY faces short-term drag. Rotate to EM for the relief rally.
Research · Apr 9, 2026
Iran Ceasefire Violation Threatens SPY, QQQ Rally — Oil Could Spike Above $110 Again
Iran's April 8, 2026, ceasefire violation announcement sent U.S. equity futures into a narrow range, threatening the prior week's rally in SPY (+2.9%), QQQ (+3.4%), EFA (+3.3%), and EEM (+3.7%) as oil risks spiking above $110. This geopolitical reversal pressures global equities, particularly energy-sensitive EEM, with a bearish pullback likely unless diplomacy intervenes swiftly.
Research · Apr 9, 2026
US-Iran Ceasefire Sparks Oil Drop and 4.5% EEM Surge — Is a Sector Rotation Coming?
The US-Iran ceasefire on April 8 triggered sharp oil declines and broad equity rallies, with EEM leading at +4.5%. Lower energy costs pave the way for sector rotation, Fed cuts, and sustained gains in SPY, QQQ, EFA, and EEM. Bullish stance with overweight to emerging markets.