BHP
BHP Group Limited
NYSE · Basic Materials · Industrial Materials · AU
$90.39
−2.50%Next report
Analyst consensus
- Next report date
- Feb 23, 2027
- EPS estimate
- $2.57
- Revenue estimate
- $29.5B
Latest reported
- Last report date
- Aug 17, 2026
- EPS actual
- $2.76
- EPS estimate
- $2.67
- Revenue actual
- $31.2B
- Revenue estimate
- $30.2B
Track record
Trailing twelve quarters
- EPS beats (12Q)
- 5
- EPS misses (12Q)
- 7
- EPS in line (12Q)
- 0
- Avg surprise (4Q)
- -3.6%
- Revenue beats (12Q)
- 3
Earnings call summaryRead the full call →
Q4 FY2025 · Aug 29, 2025
AI summary of management’s prepared remarks and analyst Q&A · For informational purposes only, not investment advice
Management highlights
Management Statement and Operational Highlights:
- Strategy remains focused on highly attractive commodities with resilient demand and steep cost curves, owning world-class assets.
- 2025 was a strong year with record iron ore and copper production, sector-leading margins, and strong cash flows. Final dividend of USD 0.60 per share, total full year dividend $5.6 billion.
- Achieved gender balance in global employee workforce at 41.3%, improving business performance.
- Key safety metrics improved year-on-year, with a 63% reduction in high potential injury frequency over 5 years.
- Underlying EBITDA margin 53%, return on capital employed 21%. Taxes and royalties incurred $10 billion against underlying attributable profit $10.2 billion.
- Refined project sequencing, aiming for average production growth 2.2% per annum over next decade. Reduced capital spend by $1 billion per year medium term. Revised net debt target range to $10 billion to $20 billion.
- WAIO had record production and shipments, BMA volumes up 5%, Copper had record EBITDA and volumes, New South Wales Energy Coal transition to closure progressing.
Guidance
Guidance:
- Expect capital and exploration spend around $11 billion in FY '26 and '27, averaging $10 billion per year medium term, $1 billion lower than previous guidance.
- Revised net debt target range to $10 billion to $20 billion reflecting improved business and portfolio.
- Assuming projects proceed, average production growth of 2.2% per annum over next decade.
- Final dividend of USD 0.60 per share, payout ratio 60%.
Segment performance
Segment Performance:
- Western Australia Iron Ore (WAIO): Achieved record production and shipments despite severe weather, with an EBITDA margin of 63% and C1 costs of $17.29 per tonne. WAIO has been the lowest cost major iron ore producer globally for 6 years. Revenue contribution: Significant, as it's a key segment.
- BMA: Volumes up 5% despite weather-related disruptions, with supply chain stabilization efforts progressing.
- New South Wales Energy Coal: Transition to closure ongoing, secured mining until June 2030, and exploring pumped hydro energy storage post-mining.
- Copper: Generated a record $12 billion of EBITDA, accounting for 45% of the group total with a margin of 59%. Escondida saw a 16% volume increase to 1.3 million tonnes, Spence had record production, and Copper South Australia showed steady performance.
Risks & headwinds
Risks:
- Project execution risks, such as encountered higher inflation and cost escalation at Jansen, extending Stage 2 first production by 2 years.
- Commodity price fluctuations impacting EBITDA.
- Regulatory and policy changes affecting projects like Copper South Australia's expansion requiring stable fiscal and regulatory settings.
Reported results against consensus at the time of each report · Surprise is computed from the estimate on record · Data as of Feb 23, 2027