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BHP

BHP Group Limited

NYSE · Basic Materials · Industrial Materials · AU

$90.39
−2.50%
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Analyst consensus

Next report date
Feb 23, 2027
EPS estimate
$2.57
Revenue estimate
$29.5B

Latest reported

Last report date
Aug 17, 2026
EPS actual
$2.76
EPS estimate
$2.67
Revenue actual
$31.2B
Revenue estimate
$30.2B

Track record

Trailing twelve quarters

EPS beats (12Q)
5
EPS misses (12Q)
7
EPS in line (12Q)
0
Avg surprise (4Q)
-3.6%
Revenue beats (12Q)
3
Earnings call summaryRead the full call →

Q4 FY2025 · Aug 29, 2025

AI summary of management’s prepared remarks and analyst Q&A · For informational purposes only, not investment advice

Management highlights

Management Statement and Operational Highlights:

  • Strategy remains focused on highly attractive commodities with resilient demand and steep cost curves, owning world-class assets.
  • 2025 was a strong year with record iron ore and copper production, sector-leading margins, and strong cash flows. Final dividend of USD 0.60 per share, total full year dividend $5.6 billion.
  • Achieved gender balance in global employee workforce at 41.3%, improving business performance.
  • Key safety metrics improved year-on-year, with a 63% reduction in high potential injury frequency over 5 years.
  • Underlying EBITDA margin 53%, return on capital employed 21%. Taxes and royalties incurred $10 billion against underlying attributable profit $10.2 billion.
  • Refined project sequencing, aiming for average production growth 2.2% per annum over next decade. Reduced capital spend by $1 billion per year medium term. Revised net debt target range to $10 billion to $20 billion.
  • WAIO had record production and shipments, BMA volumes up 5%, Copper had record EBITDA and volumes, New South Wales Energy Coal transition to closure progressing.

Guidance

Guidance:

  • Expect capital and exploration spend around $11 billion in FY '26 and '27, averaging $10 billion per year medium term, $1 billion lower than previous guidance.
  • Revised net debt target range to $10 billion to $20 billion reflecting improved business and portfolio.
  • Assuming projects proceed, average production growth of 2.2% per annum over next decade.
  • Final dividend of USD 0.60 per share, payout ratio 60%.

Segment performance

Segment Performance:

  • Western Australia Iron Ore (WAIO): Achieved record production and shipments despite severe weather, with an EBITDA margin of 63% and C1 costs of $17.29 per tonne. WAIO has been the lowest cost major iron ore producer globally for 6 years. Revenue contribution: Significant, as it's a key segment.
  • BMA: Volumes up 5% despite weather-related disruptions, with supply chain stabilization efforts progressing.
  • New South Wales Energy Coal: Transition to closure ongoing, secured mining until June 2030, and exploring pumped hydro energy storage post-mining.
  • Copper: Generated a record $12 billion of EBITDA, accounting for 45% of the group total with a margin of 59%. Escondida saw a 16% volume increase to 1.3 million tonnes, Spence had record production, and Copper South Australia showed steady performance.

Risks & headwinds

Risks:

  • Project execution risks, such as encountered higher inflation and cost escalation at Jansen, extending Stage 2 first production by 2 years.
  • Commodity price fluctuations impacting EBITDA.
  • Regulatory and policy changes affecting projects like Copper South Australia's expansion requiring stable fiscal and regulatory settings.

Reported results against consensus at the time of each report · Surprise is computed from the estimate on record · Data as of Feb 23, 2027