TVRD
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Biotechnology · US
Next report
Analyst consensus
- Next report date
- Nov 12, 2026
- EPS estimate
- -$0.54
- Revenue estimate
- —
Latest reported
- Last report date
- Aug 13, 2026
- EPS actual
- -$0.69
- EPS estimate
- -$0.70
- Revenue actual
- —
- Revenue estimate
- —
Track record
Trailing twelve quarters
- EPS beats (12Q)
- 2
- EPS misses (12Q)
- 3
- EPS in line (12Q)
- 0
- Avg surprise (4Q)
- -5.8%
- Revenue beats (12Q)
- —
Analyst ratings
Sell-side consensus
- Consensus
- Buy
- Price target
- $8.00
- PT range
- $5.00 – $10
- Analysts
- 3
Q4 FY2023 · Mar 4, 2024
AI summary of management’s prepared remarks and analyst Q&A · For informational purposes only, not investment advice
Management highlights
- In January 2023, Cara prioritized oral difelikefalin for notalgia paresthetica (NP), extending cash runway into 2026. NP is a highly underserved neuropathic condition with no approved therapies. - Oral difelikefalin showed positive results in a Phase 2 proof-of-concept study for NP. - Completed enrollment ahead of schedule in COURAGE I Part A (dose-finding portion of Phase 2/3 study) and expects top-line efficacy and safety results in Q3 2023. - Unfavorable reimbursement changes for KORSUVA led to no meaningful future revenue contribution. - Financed with HCR agreement, recording net proceeds as a long-term liability with non-cash revenue and imputed interest.
Guidance
- Cash runway extended into 2026 due to prioritization of the NP program. - Anticipates reporting top-line efficacy and safety results from COURAGE I Part A in Q3 2023. - Current unrestricted cash expected to fund operating plan into 2026.
Segment performance
In the fourth quarter of 2023, KORSUVA injection generated net sales of $5 million. Revenue was $3 million, consisting of $2.3 million collaborative revenue from CSL Vifor’s sales of KORSUVA injection and $0.7 million from royalties and milestone payments related to the HCR agreement. Demand for KORSUVA had a 22% quarter-to-quarter increase in wholesaler shipments to clinics, but most was reallocated inventory, not translating to incremental revenue. Cost of goods sold for the quarter was $0.6 million, lower than the prior year's $2.1 million.
Risks & headwinds
- Unfavorable reimbursement changes for KORSUVA could restrict access and revenue. - Risks associated with clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals for the NP program.
Analyst Q&A
Q: How large a clinical program do you think NP could be in Phase 3?
A: The size of the Phase 3 program (Part B) will be based on results from Part A, with the aim to select one dose.
Q: Given rapid enrollment and community interest, would you consider partnering in late-stage development?
A: The asset is unencumbered, and Cara intends to continue developing NP.
Q: Expectations for Part A readout, replication of data?
A: Anticipate placebo response slightly higher due to study design differences, but expect separation from placebo and aim to select favorable dose.
Q: Placebo effect changes in Part A, quality of life measurement?
A: Placebo response higher due to 3:1 randomization, larger study, and awareness; quality of life endpoints still being navigated.
Q: Disclosure of safety details in Part A readout, safety expectations for highest dose?
A: Will disclose top-line efficacy and safety, expect similar safety profile to KOMFORT study.
Q: Other potential settings for oral difelikefalin, business development beyond NP?
A: Focused on NP, but may explore assets leveraging value inflection points in NP program.
Reported results against consensus at the time of each report · Surprise is computed from the estimate on record · Data as of Nov 12, 2026