Research · Sep 3, 2026
[SCHW] Charles Schwab Thesis 2026: Cash Sweep Recovery + Ameritrade Integration Synergies Anchor Platform Compounding
Charles Schwab FY2025 revenue ~$21.5B (+12-15% YoY recovering from FY2023 cash sort cyclical trough $18.8B). Net interest income recovering as Schwab Bank deposits stabilized at ~$310B (vs $465B FY2021 peak before cash sort dynamic). Total client assets reached $10.5T+ (~36M+ active brokerage accounts post-Ameritrade integration). TD Ameritrade integration (Nov 2020 $26B acquisition) substantially complete — $2B annual cost synergies achieved (vs initial $1.8-2.0B target). RIA custody business serves 14,000+ advisors with $4T+ client assets (dominant US RIA platform). CEO Rick Wurster transitioned Jan 2025 (succeeded Walt Bettinger 2008-Jan 2025). FY2026 thesis: cash sweep continued stabilization + advisor services growth + post-integration operating margin expansion drives EPS toward $4.00-4.50 by FY2027; key risks: cash sort returns from competitive cash management products, RIA custody competitive intensity from Fidelity/LPL, recession compresses brokerage trading.