PTC
NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Application · US
Next report
Analyst consensus
- Next report date
- Nov 4, 2026
- EPS estimate
- $1.96
- Revenue estimate
- $660.9M
Latest reported
- Last report date
- Jul 29, 2026
- EPS actual
- $1.58
- EPS estimate
- $1.57
- Revenue actual
- $600.0M
- Revenue estimate
- $611.6M
Track record
Trailing twelve quarters
- EPS beats (12Q)
- 10
- EPS misses (12Q)
- 1
- EPS in line (12Q)
- 1
- Avg surprise (4Q)
- +26.2%
- Revenue beats (12Q)
- 7
Analyst ratings
Sell-side consensus
- Consensus
- Buy
- Price target
- $156
- PT range
- $130 – $190
- Analysts
- 6
Q3 FY2026 · Jul 29, 2026
AI summary of management’s prepared remarks and analyst Q&A · For informational purposes only, not investment advice
Management highlights
Core Business Execution
- PTC delivered a strong Q3, with year-over-year constant currency ARR growth and free cash flow growth both exceeding the high end of prior guidance ranges.
- The company has completed its go-to-market transformation, with sustained improved execution over the last four quarters reaching a new operating standard; improvements include deeper vertical expertise, executive-level customer engagement, better cross-team collaboration, higher rep productivity, higher renewal rates, and better pipeline quality.
- Competitive displacement activity (winning customers from incumbent providers) has doubled year-over-year in aggregate value, with scaling wins across verticals, including a large competitive PLM win with a major defense contractor in Q3.
AI Strategy and Traction
- AI is a material tailwind for PTC, as effective AI requires governed, contextually structured product data that PTC's systems of record (CAD, PLM, ALM, SLM) already provide, paired with built-in governance and access controls for secure, trustworthy AI use.
- Customers prioritize protecting their intellectual property and prefer to keep sensitive product data within governed enterprise environments rather than sharing it with general frontier model providers, which positions PTC as a trusted partner for enterprise AI deployment.
- Recent AI product releases include Creo AI, AI-native PTC Orbit, and Onshape Labs; PTC won its largest AI deal ever in Q3: a near seven-figure ServiceMax AI deal with a global industrial automation firm, which piloted to deliver 50% lower technician preparation time and 4% net workforce productivity improvement.
- API calls to cloud-native Onshape from AI-related startups have tripled in recent months; Onshape won its largest ever deal in Q3 with Winnebago, driven by demand for its cloud architecture suited for AI workflows.
Capital Allocation
- The company opportunistically repurchased $525 million of common stock in Q3, more than double the prior target, at what management viewed as a compressed stock price, reducing the fully diluted share count to 115 million for the quarter.
Guidance
- Full-year Fiscal 2026 constant currency ARR growth (excluding Kepler and ThingWorx): Guidance raised to 9% to 9.5%, with a new midpoint of 9.25% (up from prior guidance); full-year net new ARR is guided to $214 million at the midpoint.
- Q4 2026 net new ARR (excluding Kepler and ThingWorx): Guided to a range of $79 million to $92 million, representing a considerable step up from Q3, driven by strong demand and a meaningful increase in deferred ARR expected to convert during the quarter.
- Full-year Fiscal 2026 common stock repurchases: Guidance raised to approximately $1.625 billion, up from the prior range of $1.225 to $1.325 billion; full-year fully diluted share count is expected to decrease to ~116 million, from 121 million in FY25.
- Full-year Fiscal 2026 free cash flow: Guidance maintained at approximately $850 million; Q4 2026 free cash flow is guided to ~$15 million, lower year-over-year due to expected capital gains tax outflows from the Kepler and ThingWorx divestiture closing in Q4.
- Full-year Fiscal 2026 revenue: Guidance updated to $2.69 to $2.75 billion, with the midpoint raised following Q3 performance.
- Full-year Fiscal 2026 non-GAAP EPS: Guidance updated to $7.87 to $8.42, with the midpoint raised following Q3 performance.
- For FY27, management notes that PTC currently holds approximately twice the amount of deferred ARR for FY27 that it held at this point last year for FY26, which supports a path to low double-digit ARR growth if execution holds on a like-for-like basis.
Segment performance
PTC did not break out formal revenue or financial performance for individual product segments (CAD, PLM, ALM, SLM, Onshape, Creo, ServiceMax, Windchill, CodeBeamer, Orbit, ARENA) in this call. Aggregate company-level results for Q3 2026 include: $60 million in net new ARR; total constant currency ARR of $2.448 billion, up 9.1% year-over-year (excluding Kepler and ThingWorx); Q3 revenue of $600 million; operating cash flow of $261 million; free cash flow of $249 million; $525 million in common stock repurchases during the quarter.
Risks & headwinds
Management did not outline material new or specific company-level risks in this call. Standard forward-looking statement disclosure notes that actual results may differ materially from projected guidance due to unidentified factors, consistent with SEC filing disclosures. The only noted operational uncertainty is that customer AI adoption proceeds methodically, starting with pilots before scaling, so standalone AI monetization is expected to be a medium to long-term opportunity rather than an immediate growth driver.
Analyst Q&A
Q: How does PTC position itself against new AI-focused entrants and startups targeting the CAD/PLM engineering ecosystem with new data strategies? Are there changes in customer thinking that require PTC to adjust its approach? / A: Management notes PTC's 40-year structural advantage is at the governed data and process level. Regulated industrial product development requires auditable, traceable, context-rich product data and structured workflows, which PTC has long delivered and customers already trust. While PTC monitors new ecosystem activity, management remains focused on its existing strategy, which is driving increasing customer demand and AI traction, with no need for approach changes.
Q: What is PTC's approach to monetizing new AI features, and where do the biggest monetization opportunities lie? / A: The first and immediate AI-driven monetization opportunity is accelerating customer demand to modernize their existing product data foundations with PTC's core systems of record, driving expansion of existing core revenue. Standalone embedded AI capabilities (like ServiceMax AI and ARENA supply chain intelligence) already have a growing pipeline of seven-figure deals, but customers adopt methodically via pilots before scaling. Management expects standalone AI monetization to be a meaningful medium to long-term opportunity, while already driving immediate core expansion today.
Q: With displacement accelerating industry-wide, is PTC at risk of becoming overly reliant on displacing competitors, rather than expanding existing customer relationships? / A: The majority of PTC's current growth still comes from expanding monetization of its 40-year base of existing customer relationships. While displacement has accelerated year-over-year and PTC will continue pushing to gain share (notably with Onshape taking share in CAD), this does not distract from expanding value and TAM with existing customers, for example via new products like PTC Jetstream that deliver new incremental capabilities to current accounts.
Q: How does PTC view M&A now that organic execution is strong and share repurchases have been accelerated? / A: PTC continues to pursue small tuck-in acquisitions that accelerate its existing product roadmap, such as a recent small acquisition that accelerated Windchill's capability to help customers migrate from on-premise deployments. Management currently sees ample high-value organic opportunity with smaller tuck-ins, and has no plans for large M&A at this time.
Q: What changed from last quarter to drive Q3 outperformance, and how confident is management in the guided Q4 net new ARR step-up? / A: Q3 outperformance stemmed from stronger than expected demand capture and better than anticipated retention rates. The Q4 guidance reflects narrowed guidance range with a low end higher than the prior midpoint, signaling strong management confidence. This confidence comes from clear pipeline visibility, consistent strong execution, and a meaningful increase in built-up deferred ARR that is expected to convert to ARR in Q4.
Reported results against consensus at the time of each report · Surprise is computed from the estimate on record · Data as of Nov 4, 2026