Research · Sep 3, 2026
[JCI] Johnson Controls Thesis 2026: Pure-Play Buildings After Bosch Sale Rides Data Center Wave
Johnson Controls completed its transformation into a pure-play commercial buildings technology company in FY2025 with the $8.1B Global Products sale to Bosch. Data center infrastructure became ~22% of continuing revenue (+25% YoY) as hyperscaler cooling, fire suppression, and building management demand accelerated. Backlog ~$12.5B provides 12-14 months visibility. FY2026 thesis: OpenBlue AI platform growing toward $2B ARR + sustained data center supercycle drives margin expansion toward 20%+ and justifies re-rating from industrial to software-adjacent multiples.