Research · Jun 9, 2026
TLT ETF Drops as Israel-Iran Escalation Revives Inflation Fears
TLT fell 1.5% as Israel-Iran escalation lifts oil and resurfaces inflation fears. How war-risk premium repricing differs from normal risk-off in bond markets.
US
Research · Jun 9, 2026
TLT fell 1.5% as Israel-Iran escalation lifts oil and resurfaces inflation fears. How war-risk premium repricing differs from normal risk-off in bond markets.
Research · Jun 8, 2026
Trump publicly pressured Fed Chair Warsh to cut rates as the central bank insists on patience. What the central bank independence question means for GLD.
Research · Jun 3, 2026
JOLTS at near-2-year high, dug-in bond shorts, and a Warsh-Project 2025 Fed reshuffle line up the cleanest long-end short setup of the year.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
Ahead of March PPI and GS/NFLX earnings, stagflation favors XOM, NEM, and COST over vulnerable banks and streamers. Energy and gold lead with strong FCF and margins, while GS faces growth headwinds. Ranked picks emphasize cheap inflation hedges.
Research · Apr 13, 2026
As April 2026 data confirms building US inflation pressures, stagflation favors NEM, XOM, and COST most strongly among hedges like TIP, GLD, and XLU. Gold miner NEM leads with explosive growth, followed by energy titan XOM's value and Costco's resilience. Ranked plays offer clear portfolio tilts.
Research · Apr 10, 2026
Sudan-UAE rift slashes gold exports, risking global supply tightness and lifting U.S. assets: GLD up 21% in 6 months, NEM's Africa ops poised for price tailwinds, GOLD's dealer model thrives on volatility. Bullish on scarcity premium.
Research · Apr 9, 2026
April 8's Iran truce contradictions—Pakistan talks, Hormuz block, violations, Trump noise—heighten oil/gold risks while pressuring India. USO/GLD poised for rallies on supply fears; INDA faces import squeeze. Bullish commodities, neutral EM.