Skip to content
STUB

StubHub Holdings, Inc.

StubHub Holdings, Inc. Q4 FY2025 earnings call

March 4, 2026 · fiscal period ended 2025-12

EPS · actual vs est

$-0.06 / $-0.03Miss -100.0%

Revenue · actual vs est

$449.2M / $468.7MMiss -4.2%
Ask about this call

Summary

Generated 2026-03-04

Management highlights

  • StubHub is a leading global ticketing marketplace with durable advantages like leading marketplace position, proven network effects, asset - light online marketplace model, extensive data set, scale, and an exceptional team. - 2025 was a pivotal year with growth, strengthened competitive position, transformed balance sheet, and became a public company. - In 2026, prioritizing building product foundation for direct issuance to scale broadly, shifting from business development - led to product - led strategy. - Advertising business showing promising early results but taking disciplined approach. - Regulatory environment: Secondary ticketing market solves ecosystem needs, StubHub is diversified and aims to educate policymakers.
View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

In 2025, StubHub delivered $9.2 billion of GMS. In the fourth quarter of 2025, GMS was $2.3 billion, down 8% year - over - year. Revenue in the fourth quarter was $449 million, down 16% year - over - year. Adjusted gross margin in the fourth quarter was 83%, up from 76% in the prior year period. For the full year 2025, revenue was $1.7 billion, 19% of GMS compared to $1.8 billion in 2024. Adjusted gross margin for the year was 83%, up 200 basis points from 2024. Adjusted EBITDA for the full year was $232 million, 13% of revenue. North America secondary market has historically grown at low double - digit rates, and StubHub expanded its share in North America to approximately 50% of the secondary market. International GMS growth outpaced that in North America.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

For 2026, expect GMS to grow to between $9.9 billion and $10.1 billion (9% growth at midpoint), and adjusted EBITDA to expand to between $400 million and $420 million. GMS growth driven by North American market growth, incremental market share gains, and international growth. 2026 plan reflects evolving direct issuance strategy to more scalable technology - enabled model and raising customer acquisition efficiency in core resale.

View in transcript ↓

Risks

  • Regulatory changes in live events are complex and could affect the secondary ticketing market. Public discussion often focuses on a subset of the resale market, but StubHub's diversification provides insulation. - AI brings both opportunities and risks, need to execute and innovate appropriately to mitigate risks and seize opportunities. - Primary ticketers' dynamic pricing and other policies could potentially impact the business, but historically no significant impact seen so far.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: Doug Anmuth with JP Morgan asked about 9% GMS growth and direct issuance outlook.

A: Doug was answered on market growth drivers, all - in pricing overhang, share gains, international growth, and shift in direct issuance strategy to product development.

Q: Eric Sheridan from Goldman Sachs asked about lessons from marketing in 2025 and acquisition effectiveness in 2026.

A: Answered on marketplace flywheels, relative market share impact, 2025 investment in market share, and 2026 improved acquisition efficiency.

Q: Justin Post from Bank of America asked about concert season, World Cup impact, and U.S. secondary regulatory environment.

A: Answered on concert season health, World Cup inclusion in forecast, and regulatory environment including Live Nation trial.

Q: Mark Mahaney from Evercore ISI asked about advertising initiatives.

A: Answered on advertising revenue generation, testing phase, and disciplined approach for long - term value.

Q: John Blackledge from TD Cowan asked about AI and agentic commerce.

A: Answered on AI's transformational nature, StubHub's position in live event market, marketplace operations and experience layers, and AI's cost efficiency and customer delight benefits.

Q: Brian Pitts, BMO Capital Markets asked about primary ticketers' dynamic pricing and international GMS growth.

A: Answered on no impact from primary ticketers' dynamic pricing historically, international GMS growth at multiples of North America.

Q: Andrew Boone, Citizens asked about marketing efficiency and Reach Pro.

A: Answered on Reach Pro's benefits in share gains and data - wise, and marketing efficiency related to 2025 investment and 2026 normalized marketing levels

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$-0.06$-0.03-100.0%
Revenue$449.2M$468.7M-4.2%

Transcript

March 4, 2026

Full transcript unavailable for redistribution

The structured summary above covers the available call sections. Full transcript text is not included on this page.

Continue exploring

Prior quarters

This page presents the stored structured earnings-call summary and deterministic earnings calendar values. How this is generated. For informational purposes only; not investment advice.