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OGE

OGE Energy Corp.

OGE Energy Corp. Q4 FY2024 earnings call

February 19, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2024-12

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Summary

Generated 2025-02-19

Management highlights

  • 2024 was an outstanding year with consolidated earnings exceeding guidance. Achievements included adding over 10,000 customers, improving SAIDI numbers, replacing a large substation ahead of schedule, and having nearly 450 MW under construction at Horseshoe Lake.
  • Enhanced self-service tools like mobile app and website, used automation/AI for efficiency, and had a strong safety year.
  • 2024 load growth was 7.6% weather-normalized, with commercial leading at 21.4% and residential at 2.4%.
  • Plan to file for rate reviews in Oklahoma and Arkansas midyear and year-end respectively, and leverage economic development to drive load growth.
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Segment performance

In 2024, the electric company achieved net income of $470 million or $2.33 per diluted share, compared to $426 million or $2.12 per share in 2023. The holding company reported a loss of $28 million or $0.14 per diluted share in 2024, up from a loss of $10 million or $0.05 in 2023. The electric company's performance contributed significantly to the consolidated earnings, while the holding company's loss was due to higher interest expense and lower net other income.

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Guidance

  • 2025 consolidated earnings guidance is $2.27 per share with a range of $2.21 to $2.33, midpoint 7% higher than 2024.
  • Long-term annual EPS growth expected to be 5%-7% based on the 2025 midpoint.
  • Anticipate 2025 weather-normalized load growth of 8.5% by year-end, building on strong prior years' growth.
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Risks

  • Regulatory uncertainties in the rate review processes.
  • Uncertainty around the timing and outcome of data center project negotiations.
  • Potential challenges in aligning RFP results with future load needs if more data center projects materialize.
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Q&A highlights

Q: Could you address the megawatts needed for data center opportunities and the Stillwater opportunity?

A: We've characterized data center opportunities as 250 to 500 MW across several discussions, but specifics on Stillwater are prohibited.

Q: What's the outlook for 2025 guidance and how does it relate to prior long-term assumptions?

A: 2025 guidance is a step up, and we're hesitant to give EPS sensitivity on low growth but load growth across classes contributes.

Q: When can we expect updates on data center customer contracts and generation RFP?

A: We'll file generation RFP results by midyear, and communicate on data center contracts when they occur.

Q: How does load growth impact rate case filings in Oklahoma?

A: Load growth is expected to mitigate the impact of rate case filings, keeping rate increases small.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

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Transcript

February 19, 2025

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