OGE Energy Corp.
OGE Energy Corp. Q1 FY2025 earnings call
April 30, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2025-03
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-04-30
Management highlights
• Customer growth and load growth continued momentum: 1% customer growth and 8% weather-normalized load growth. Residential and commercial sectors led growth. • Grid and weather strengthening investments delivered high reliability, averaging 99.975% reliability despite recent weather events. • Generation projects: About 550 megawatts under construction at Horseshoe Lake and Tinker, with regulatory filings upcoming for RFP. • Regulatory actions: Plan to request rate review midyear in Oklahoma and file general rate review and formula rate plan in Arkansas. • Supply chain: Diversified transformer sourcing to minimize disruptions, with components secured through 2026. • Economic development: Anticipated baseload growth from industrial, military, and midstream customers, including Oklahoma City hosting 2028 Olympics events.
Segment performance
Consolidated net income for the first quarter of 2025 was $63 million or $0.31 per diluted share, with OG&E contributing $71 million or $0.35 per diluted share and a holding company loss of $0.04 per share. Customer growth was 1% year-over-year, and weather-normalized load growth was 8% year-over-year. Residential and commercial customers saw growth at 3% and 28% respectively, while industrial and oilfield classes had softness due to outages. OG&E's rates are top decile for overall retail and lowest in Oklahoma and Arkansas.
Guidance
• Affirmed 2025 earnings per share guidance of $2.27 within a range of $2.21 to $2.33 per share. • Load growth is on track to meet full-year expectations, with intentional efforts to grow communities supporting low rates. • Confident in achieving consolidated earnings growth based on strong business fundamentals.
Risks
• Moody's placed OGE on negative outlook, with focus on FFO to debt ratio. • Macro-economic factors and regulatory changes pose potential headwinds. • Uncertainty in supply chain and regulatory outcomes affecting CapEx plans.
Q&A highlights
Q: Durgesh on balance sheet and Moody's?
A: Moody's negative outlook not imminent, credit accretive legislation and track record considered, still targeting 17% FFO to debt.
Q: Julien on Moody's and CapEx?
A: Credit accretive legislation points to favorable direction relative to peers, but Moody's process will determine outcome.
Q: Stephen on residential load growth durability?
A: Residential growth trend positive, though not guaranteed to stay at 3%, underpinned by economic fundamentals.
Q: Anthony on Moody's and credit enhancing items?
A: Credit enhancing items are external (legislative/regulatory), continuing track record helps, Moody's to resolve negative outlook within 12-18 months.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.31 | $0.22 | +40.9% | $0.09 |
| Revenue | $747.7M | $785.0M | -4.8% | $596.8M |
Transcript
April 30, 2025Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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