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JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd.

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. Q4 FY2024 earnings call

March 26, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2024-12

EPS · actual vs est

$-1.01 / $-0.46Miss -119.6%

Revenue · actual vs est

$1.91B / $3.05BMiss -37.5%
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Summary

Generated 2025-03-26

Management highlights

  • Delivered resilient operations in 2024 with leading N-type TOPCon technology and global sales/manufacturing networks. Annual module shipments were 93 gigawatts, first in the industry.
  • Global PV industry had fast growth in 2024, but supply-demand imbalance led to price decline and profit pressure. National authorities and industry took steps to address imbalance.
  • Maintained tech leadership: N-type cell efficiency near 26.5%, Tiger Neo production initiated. Global manufacturing: Shanxi N-type Super Factory, U.S. factory at full capacity, Saudi project progressing.
  • ESG recognition: Included in S&P Global 2025 Sustainability Yearbook, top in CSA, BBB in MSCI ESG. Strong patent portfolio with 462 granted TOPCon patents, responding to infringement claims.
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Segment performance

In 2024, JinkoSolar's module shipments reached 92.87 gigawatts, up 18.3% year-over-year, ranking first in the industry. Total revenue was $12.64 billion, down 22% year-over-year. Gross margin was 11% in 2024, compared to 16% in 2023. For the fourth quarter of 2024, module shipments were 25.2 gigawatts, revenue was $2.83 billion, down 15.7% sequentially and 37% year-over-year. Gross margin was 3.6% in Q4 2024, compared to 15.7% in Q3 2024.

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Guidance

  • Q1 2025 module shipments expected 16-18 gigawatts, full-year 2025 module shipments expected 85-100 gigawatts.
  • By end of 2025, mass-produced N-type cell efficiency expected to reach ~27%.
  • Cautious capacity expansion in 2025, no new capacity added besides TOPCon upgrades. Expected mono wafer, cell, module capacities by end of 2025: 120, 95, 130 gigawatts respectively.
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Risks

  • Supply-demand imbalances leading to price declines and profit pressure.
  • Trade tariffs (AD/CVD) and potential impact on margins, but current U.S. operations managing without significant negative impact.
  • Uncertainty in U.S. market demand affecting margins.
  • Industry consolidation and potential phase-out of less competitive companies.
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Q&A highlights

Q: About AD/CVD tariffs and U.S. shipments A: Jinko has solutions for AD/CVD, U.S. factories at full capacity, no big margin impact from tariffs, but U.S. demand is key.

Q: U.S. shipments expectation and pullback A: Uncertainty in policies, expecting reasonable range once policies clear.

Q: Q1 margin expectation, Q2-Q3 trends A: Q1 margin likely lower than Q4, Q2 margin to improve moderately as demand picks up.

Q: CapEx for 2025 A: CapEx expected ~RMB4-5B, much lower than previous year.

Q: Market share, depreciation, free cash flow A: Focus on technology and capabilities, depreciation Q4 ~RMB1.6-1.7B, 2025 pending, free cash flow expected positive but conservative.

Q: China supply side reforms, Saudi capacity A: Company optimistic on solar sector, Saudi project to break ground Q2 2025, fully operational end of 2026.

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Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$-1.01$-0.46-119.6%$1.21
Revenue$1.91B$3.05B-37.5%$3.19B

Transcript

March 26, 2025

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