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Bullish

Bullish Q4 FY2025 earnings call

February 5, 2026 · fiscal period ended 2025-12

EPS · actual vs est

$0.20 / $0.14Beat +39.6%

Revenue · actual vs est

/ $87.3M
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Summary

Generated 2026-02-05

Management highlights

  • Bullish closed 2025 with strong momentum, capturing institutional business, scaling liquidity services, launching options trading in Q4 with over $2 billion in open interest by quarter end, and securing key licenses. - 2026 priorities include growing the exchange, expanding tokenization of real-world assets, and accelerating digital assets indices/insight spaces. - Liquidity services business is growing with new use cases, adding partners like IOTA, VeChain, etc., and plans to list tokenized securities in 2026 while expanding regulatory footprint.
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Segment performance

In the fourth quarter of 2025, SS and O revenue reached $54.6 million, a 284% year-over-year increase. Full-year 2025 SS and O revenue was $157.7 million, up nearly 160% from 2024. Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA was $44.5 million, a record high with a 48% margin, and full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA was $94.3 million. Adjusted net income in Q4 was $28.9 million and $38.8 million for the full year 2025.

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Guidance

  • Expect SS and O revenue between $220 million and $250 million in 2026. - Adjusted operating expenses are expected to be between $210 million and $230 million in 2026. - Adjusted transaction revenue guidance not provided; investors are encouraged to track monthly exchange metrics.
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Risks

  • Volatility in digital asset prices which could impact market sentiment. - Regulatory uncertainties, particularly around the Clarity Act and its potential impact on tokenization, DeFi, and stablecoins.
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Q&A highlights

Q: Could you talk about the key assumptions influencing the 2026 SS and O guidance?

A: David Bonanno mentioned potential upsides from swift infrastructure bill passage and macro headwinds baked into the guidance.

Q: Can you talk about the contribution from the Consensus conferences to SS and O revenue this year?

A: David Bonanno said Consensus events are expected to be larger than 2025 but likely at the lower end of growth rates within the bucket.

Q: Could you comment where Bullish stands on the Clarity Act and its key provisions?

A: Thomas Farley discussed the bill's progress, key issues like DeFi KYC/AML and conflicts of interest, and personal optimism it could pass before summer.

Q: What would be the impact if intermediaries no longer paid interest on stablecoins?

A: David Bonanno said there would be minimal to no financial impact on Bullish's liquidity services business due to carve-outs for liquidity providers.

Q: How do you see pipeline growth during market volatility?

A: Thomas Farley said pipeline build has been steady but volatility may cause some slowdown, but pipeline is full currently.

Q: Could you provide color on the mix of SS and O revenue between services, liquidity, and events?

A: David Bonanno said they don't break out internals due to aggressive cross-selling, with events revenue in Q4 de minimis.

Q: What are customers saying about their crypto strategy during volatility?

A: Thomas Farley said tokenization is unaffected by Bitcoin price, but some slowdown in investment may occur, while pipeline remains strong.

Q: Could you comment on progress with the US launch and its impact on volumes?

A: David Bonanno said New York BitLicense was acquired midway through Q4, with strong pipeline in US and expectation of increasing volume from high-quality customers.

Q: Thoughts on the momentum of the options business?

A: Thomas Farley said options business hit the ground running, ripped through competition, and aims to be number one globally.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.20$0.14+39.6%
Revenue$87.3M

Transcript

February 5, 2026

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