EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-09-17
Management highlights
- Regulatory Approvals: Bullish holds key Tier 1 regulatory licenses from EU, HK, UK, and recently obtained the New York State BitLicense, positioning for U.S. launch.
- Liquidity Services: Grew significantly, with revenue line including collaborations like with Solana and agreements with stablecoin and digital asset issuers.
- Exchange Pricing: Optimized pricing starting March 2025, with spreads showing improvement in Q3.
- Options Platform: In production beta phase, with plans for full launch in Q4 2025.
- CoinDesk Updates: Hired Dave LaValle, continued growth in AUM for indices, completed CC Data integration, and executed successful consensus conferences.
Segment performance
Bullish operates two primary brands: the Bullish Exchange and CoinDesk. The Bullish Exchange has facilitated over $530 billion of total volume year to date through August 2025, with more than $485 billion in spot volume alone. It offers spot, perpetual futures, and dated futures trading, and is set to launch options soon. CoinDesk's information services include CoinDesk Indices with $41 billion in assets under management as of June 30, 2025, CoinDesk Data serving over 11,000 institutional investors, and CoinDesk Insights reaching a global audience of over 80 million people. CoinDesk Indices' AUM increased by over $9 billion from Q1, and they launched CDOR, a benchmark interest rate for stablecoins.
Guidance
- Q3 adjusted revenue expected to be in the range of $69 million-$76 million, with adjusted transaction revenue between $25.5 million and $28 million, and subscription service and other revenue between $43.5 million and $48 million.
- Anticipate Q2 adjusted EBITDA between $25 million and $28 million, and adjusted net income between $12 million and $17 million.
- Plan to provide quarterly guidance on adjusted operating expenses and SS&O revenue, and monthly reporting on spot perpetual volumes and spreads.
Risks
- Market Volatility: Historically low BTC price volatility led to lower market-wide digital asset trading volumes, impacting revenue.
- Regulatory Changes: While regulatory clarity is helping, changes could still affect institutional adoption and business operations.
- Competition: Fierce competition in the digital asset space could impact market share and revenue.
Q&A highlights
Q: Ken Worthington asked about the growth of liquidity services tokens and pipeline for stablecoins and non-stablecoin tokens.
A: Tom Farley and David Bonanno discussed that liquidity services growth has accelerated due to regulatory clarity, with the pipeline having more non-stablecoin token issuers but stablecoins still emerging.
Q: Peter Christiansen asked about sales cycle for U.S. institutional accounts and the trader challenge promotion.
A: Tom Farley mentioned the sales cycle for U.S. accounts takes time, and David Bonanno talked about the trader challenge as a promotional activity to expose new customer segments.
Q: Dan Fannon asked about customer concentration and pricing adjustments.
A: Tom Farley and David Bonanno stated that pricing adjustments have diversified the customer base and are comfortable with the current framework.
Q: Brett Knoblauch asked about CoinDesk indices asset linked fees and ETF catalyst.
A: Tom Farley discussed the growth potential of indices, including the CoinDesk 5 ETF approval by the SEC.
Q: Brian Bedell asked about liquidity services revenue growth potential.
A: David Bonanno said growth is from all subscription services segments, predominantly driven by liquidity services.
Q: Chris Brendler asked about spread sustainability.
A: Tom Farley and David Bonanno explained spreads are sensitive to volatility, with August as a benchmark and ongoing optimization for total adjusted transaction revenue.
Q: Bill Papanastasiou asked about additional read-throughs from the BitLicense regarding custody.
A: Tom Farley stated Bullish is already in custody but no extensive business model changes related to custody with the BitLicense.
Q: Joseph Vafi asked about options platform progress.
A: Tom Farley said the options platform is in beta with live trading, showing growth in options volumes and positive signs for full launch in Q4.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.05 | $-0.05 | +2.4% | — |
| Revenue | $58.66B | $55.74B | +5.2% | — |
Transcript
September 17, 2025Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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