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VLYPO

Valley National Bancorp

NASDAQ · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · US

$25.03
+0.06%
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Analyst consensus

Next report date
Oct 22, 2026
EPS estimate
$0.34
Revenue estimate
$586.4M

Latest reported

Last report date
Jul 23, 2026
EPS actual
$0.30
EPS estimate
$0.31
Revenue actual
$560.7M
Revenue estimate
$569.2M

Track record

Trailing twelve quarters

EPS beats (12Q)
6
EPS misses (12Q)
4
EPS in line (12Q)
1
Avg surprise (4Q)
+8.9%
Revenue beats (12Q)
6
Earnings call summaryRead the full call →

Q4 FY2025 · Jan 29, 2026

AI summary of management’s prepared remarks and analyst Q&A · For informational purposes only, not investment advice

Management highlights

  • Valley delivered record earnings in 2025 with net income and adjusted net income up from prior year. - Strong core deposit growth, up nearly $4B or 9% year over year. - Loan growth was strong, with commercial real estate and C&I growing, and strong pipelines for 2026. - Investments in talent, technology, and operating model have deepened customer engagement and productivity. - Focus on geographic and business line diversification, and strategic investments in treasury management and specialty funding niches.

Guidance

  • Expect mid single digit loan growth in 2026, with C&I growth around 10%, low single digit CRE growth, and mid single digit consumer/residential growth. - Anticipate deposit growth will outpace loans, reducing loan-to-deposit ratio. - Net interest income expected to grow 11-13% in 2026. - High single digit fee income growth expected in 2026. - Expect further credit cost improvement, with loan loss provision around $100M. - Capital deployment strategy balances organic growth with capital returns, with CET1 expected to remain in 10.5%-11% range.

Segment performance

Valley National Bancorp delivered record earnings in 2025. Net income was approximately $195,000,000 or $0.33 per diluted share. Excluding certain non-core items, adjusted net income was $180,000,000 or $0.31 per diluted share. Adjusted return on average assets was 1.14%, the highest since 2022. For the full year 2025, net income was $598,000,000 and adjusted net income was $585,000,000. Core deposits grew by nearly $4,000,000,000 or 9% year over year. Total loans grew about $800,000,000 or 7% annualized, with commercial real estate and C&I contributing. Net interest income increased 4% quarter over quarter or 10% year over year, margin expanded to 3.17%.

Risks & headwinds

  • Seasonal headwinds in the first quarter, including lower day count, elevated payroll taxes, and potential moderation of late-year fee income and noninterest deposits. - Regulatory changes could impact the banking industry, though no specific client base impact highlighted. - Competition in loan spreads and structure could affect margins.

Analyst Q&A

Q: Talk about drivers behind 15-20 basis points NIM expansion from 4Q 2025 to 4Q 2026.

A: Benefits balanced between loan and deposit sides. Deposit side: lower customer deposit rates, replacing higher cost brokered with lower cost core, and replacing FHLB advances. Loan side: replacing low-yielding fixed rate loans with higher-yielding originations.

Q: How to think about NIM cadence through the year?

A: First quarter margin comes down from 3.17% due to day count headwind and late December spikes moderating, then grows back to mid-30s by fourth quarter.

Q: Implications of declining classified assets on credit costs?

A: If economy stays, trend of declining classified assets to continue in 2026 and beyond, driven by payoffs and net upgrades.

Q: Update on 15% ROE target timeline?

A: No update, but feel well on way to achieving 15% target with tailwinds in 2026.

Q: Expense outlook for 1Q 2026?

A: Elevated items in fourth quarter normalize, and payroll tax headwind in first quarter roughly balances out, leading to general stability in operating expenses.

Q: Impact of no rate cuts on NIM expansion?

A: Slight headwind from NII, but offset by other rate dynamics and structural neutrality to front end of curve.

Q: Pace of buyback?

A: CET1 growth, dividend payout, and excess CET1 suggest $150M-$200M of stock repurchase, consistent with 4Q pace.

Q: Geographic expansion plans?

A: Successful in markets like Chicago, Los Angeles, Philadelphia; focused on adjacent markets and opportunistic team acquisitions.

Q: Loan pipeline and growth upside?

A: Strong pipeline, with $1B+ growth since 2024, geographically distributed, and CRE/C&I balanced. Excludes $500M runoff in Tier three transactional CRE, suggesting upside to loan growth guidance.

Q: Reserve settlement and credit trends?

A: Directionally, reserve could decline as criticized/classified assets fall, but offset by increasing C&I portfolio; allowance coverage ratio expected to be generally stable.

Q: CRE growth and pipeline?

A: Strong originations in 2025, with $1.5B new Tier 1 and Tier 2 CRE expected in 2026, offset by $500M runoff in transactional CRE, netting to $1B growth.

Q: Commercial banker recruiting and branding investments?

A: Aggressive recruiting to capitalize on unique value proposition, focusing on not bloating expenses; branding campaign to support customer acquisition and experience, complementing talent efforts.

Q: Deposit growth mix and beta?

A: Total deposit growth expected at midpoint 6%, with 5% NIB growth, assuming 50% total deposit cost beta. First quarter EOP NIB expected to be at average level.

Q: M&A scenario?

A: M&A considered if aligns with strategic objectives, shareholder value, and financial constraints, but organic growth is strong and prioritized.

Q: Brokered deposits and funding cost?

A: Brokered CDs and FHLB advances play role in interest rate risk management, not expected to go to zero but to a lower level over time.

Q: Regulatory impact on client base?

A: Reduced regulation driving confidence in entrepreneurial borrowers, but no specific industry-focused impact highlighted

Reported results against consensus at the time of each report · Surprise is computed from the estimate on record · Data as of Oct 22, 2026