SNCY
NASDAQ · Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services · US
Latest reported
- Last report date
- May 7, 2026
- EPS actual
- $0.45
- EPS estimate
- $0.70
- Revenue actual
- $338.4M
- Revenue estimate
- $345.0M
Track record
Trailing twelve quarters
- EPS beats (12Q)
- 9
- EPS misses (12Q)
- 3
- EPS in line (12Q)
- 0
- Avg surprise (4Q)
- -0.2%
- Revenue beats (12Q)
- 4
Q3 FY2025 · Oct 30, 2025
AI summary of management’s prepared remarks and analyst Q&A · For informational purposes only, not investment advice
Management highlights
- Diversified business model with 13 consecutive profitable quarters, leveraging schedule flexibility and low fixed cost model.
- Cargo expansion completed with all 20 aircraft in operation; Q3 cargo revenue up 60% y-o-y, expected to be over 75% by December.
- Scheduled service TRASM improved: 3Q TRASM up 1.6%, September up over 7%, 4Q expected up over 6%, 1Q 2026 even stronger.
- Charter production set an all-time record volume with revenue per block hour up 4% y-o-y.
- Safe and reliable network with 3Q controllable completion factor of 99.3%.
Guidance
- Fourth quarter total revenue expected between $270 million and $280 million, with block hours up 8% to 11%.
- Anticipating fuel cost per gallon to be $2.50 to achieve operating margin of 5% to 8%.
- Maintenance costs pulled forward from 2026 to manage fleet maintenance in 4Q.
- Expect to achieve $300 million of run rate EBITDA after the second quarter of 2027, though timing may be delayed by factors beyond control.
Segment performance
Cargo: Third quarter cargo revenue for September was up 60% year-on-year, expected to move to over 75% by December. Q3 cargo revenue was $44 million, accounting for 50.9% of total revenue. All 20 cargo aircraft are in operation. Passenger: Scheduled service revenue was down 3.2% year-over-year primarily due to schedule and service operation reduction. Charter revenue grew 15.6% with block hours up 11.1%. August total fare for scheduled service increased 2.6% vs last year, load factor up 2.7 percentage points to 87%. September total fare up 4.5% vs last year, load factor up 3.2 percentage points to 83%.
Risks & headwinds
- Factors beyond control may delay full implementation of achieving $300 million run rate EBITDA.
- Aircraft redelivery timing could impact utilization and growth plans.
- Lumpiness of maintenance costs, including heavy checks and engine repairs.
- Cost pressures from airports due to their massive capital programs.
- Competitive capacity changes in certain markets affecting market dynamics.
Analyst Q&A
Q: How does cargo expansion impact the seasonality of the business?
A: Jude Bricker noted ramp-up of cargo was slower than expected, but cargo operation will affect most months in 2026, and scheduled service schedule will be repeaked potentially increasing seasonality.
Q: Is RASM continuing into the fourth quarter and holiday bookings?
A: Jude Bricker stated sales look really strong into winter period, no worrisome weaknesses seen across network.
Q: Thoughts on charter in 2026?
A: Jude Bricker mentioned charter has different flavors including contractual, VIP, military, and ad hoc flying, with strong demand and fewer competitors providing lift, leading to good opportunities for Sun Country.
Reported results against consensus at the time of each report · Surprise is computed from the estimate on record · Data as of Aug 6, 2026