SEATW
NASDAQ · Communication Services · Internet Content & Information · US
Next report
Analyst consensus
- Next report date
- Nov 10, 2026
- EPS estimate
- -$1.11
- Revenue estimate
- $127.3M
Latest reported
- Last report date
- Aug 4, 2026
- EPS actual
- -$1.30
- EPS estimate
- -$1.02
- Revenue actual
- $129.9M
- Revenue estimate
- $122.1M
Track record
Trailing twelve quarters
- EPS beats (12Q)
- 0
- EPS misses (12Q)
- 4
- EPS in line (12Q)
- 0
- Avg surprise (4Q)
- -625.6%
- Revenue beats (12Q)
- 2
Q3 FY2025 · Nov 6, 2025
AI summary of management’s prepared remarks and analyst Q&A · For informational purposes only, not investment advice
Management highlights
- Leadership transition: Lawrence Fey succeeds Stan Chia as CEO, Ted Pickus is Interim CFO. - Strategy pillars: Focus on leading tech, unique data, efficiency, and enhancing app value proposition with loyalty program and lowest price guarantee. - Cost reduction: More than doubling fixed cost reduction target from $25M to $60M, with savings in fixed marketing, G&A, and stock-based compensation. - Corporate simplification: Terminated tax receivable agreement, collapsed dual class share structure, expecting immediate and ongoing savings. - Third quarter trends: Stabilization in owned property GOV, app GOV growth, despite private label pressure.
Guidance
- 2026 marketplace GOV expected in the range of $2.2 billion to $2.6 billion, midpoint assumes GOV roughly in line with Q3 run rate. - 2026 adjusted EBITDA anticipated to be $30 million to $40 million, with reinvestment in customer value proposition. - Assumes industry volumes are flat year-over-year.
Segment performance
In the third quarter, Vivid Seats generated $618 million of marketplace GOV, $136 million of revenues, and $5 million of adjusted EBITDA. Owned properties such as Vivid Seats and Vegas.com saw sequential GOV growth. The Vivid Seats app experienced double-digit sequential growth and returned to year-over-year GOV growth. Revenues were down 27% year-over-year, and marketplace take rate was 17.0% in Q3, expected to be in the 16% range near term.
Risks & headwinds
- Competitive intensity: Uncertainty around industry competitive dynamics impacting market share and financial performance. - Industry disruptions: FTC lawsuit, Ticketmaster actions (shutting down TradeDesk, limiting accounts) could impact supply and demand in secondary ticketing, with potential contraction or fragmentation risks. - Marketplace dynamics: Uncertainty around direct issuance models and their impact on secondary marketplace supply and demand.
Analyst Q&A
Q: Cash flow consequences and competitive intensity assumption in 2026?
A: Cash obligations include net interest, ex cap software, and cash taxes. Competitive intensity assumption is midpoint between recent September-October levels and earlier extreme points. App value prop unique due to loyalty program, lower pricing, and lifetime customer experience.
Q: Consumer behavior in secondary ticket market and capital allocation priorities?
A: Live events remain central to consumer spending, with softness on lower end of market. Capital allocation: Focus on core business, prudence on cash leaving system, will consider international expansion and strategic M&A once stabilization is proven.
Q: International business investment signals?
A: International business already contribution margin positive, with success in areas of competitive supply. Focus on adding pockets across countries with local events to drive profitable marketing.
Reported results against consensus at the time of each report · Surprise is computed from the estimate on record · Data as of Nov 10, 2026