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NRP

Natural Resource Partners L.P.

NYSE · Energy · Coal · US

$113.66
+0.23%
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Analyst consensus

Next report date
Nov 4, 2026
EPS estimate
-$0.02
Revenue estimate
$34.0M

Latest reported

Last report date
Aug 5, 2026
EPS actual
$1.85
EPS estimate
$0.30
Revenue actual
$48.1M
Revenue estimate
$37.7M

Track record

Trailing twelve quarters

EPS beats (12Q)
4
EPS misses (12Q)
0
EPS in line (12Q)
0
Avg surprise (4Q)
+8823.2%
Revenue beats (12Q)
2
Earnings call summaryRead the full call →

Q2 FY2026 · Aug 5, 2026

AI summary of management’s prepared remarks and analyst Q&A · For informational purposes only, not investment advice

Management highlights

  • Overall Financial Performance

    • NRP generated $42 million of free cash flow in Q2 2026, and $163 million of free cash flow over the trailing 12 months, excluding the $39 million invested in the Sodash business in Q1 2026
    • The company has fully paid off its bank revolver, with only $14 million of total debt outstanding as of the call
    • A Q2 2026 distribution of 75 cents per common unit was announced, to be paid later in the month, matching the Q1 2026 distribution level
  • Coal Market Update

    • Both metallurgical and thermal coal markets have stabilized after prior declines, with modest improvement off recent lows; no near-term catalyst is expected to push prices sharply higher
    • The mineral rights segment has consistently generated stable cash flow across all coal market cycles, and remains the company's most dependable cash generator
    • High oil prices increase associated natural gas production, which puts downward pressure on North American thermal coal prices, while lower oil prices support thermal coal pricing; growing renewables competitiveness creates a long-term headwind for thermal coal demand
  • Soda Ash Market Update

    • The global soda ash market remains oversupplied, with no quick fix for the current imbalance; international prices have found a floor, but this floor is below most producers' cost of production, so the downturn is expected to continue
    • Domestic soda ash prices currently hold an unusually large premium to international prices, because annual domestic contract pricing has not yet adjusted to the drop in international spot prices; this premium is expected to narrow as 2027 delivery contracts are negotiated in 2026, leading to lower domestic prices ahead
    • Approximately 4% of global soda ash capacity has been announced for extended closure, an early sign that market excess is beginning to correct, as supply and demand will eventually rebalance over time

Guidance

  • Barring unforeseen adverse events, management intends to raise the company's distribution significantly starting in November 2026
  • Distributions from the Sister James, Wyoming soda ash operation are not expected to resume until soda ash demand rebounds or there is sufficient permanent supply reduction in the depressed market
  • Management does not attempt to predict short-term commodity price movements, and expects the current soda ash downturn to continue for some time before market correction occurs

Segment performance

  1. Mineral Rights Segment: Generated $36 million of net income, and $45 million of operating and free cash flow in Q2 2026. Compared to Q2 2025, net income decreased by $3 million, and operating/free cash flow each decreased by $1 million. In Q2 2026, metallurgical coal accounted for approximately 70% of total coal royalty revenue and 45% of coal royalty sales volume. This segment contributed 144% of consolidated Q2 2026 net income and 107% of consolidated operating/free cash flow.
  2. Soda Ash Segment: Q2 2026 net income decreased by $7 million year-over-year, and operating/free cash flow each decreased by $5 million year-over-year. No distribution was received from the Sister James, Wyoming operation in Q2 2026, compared to a $5 million distribution in Q2 2025. This segment had a net negative impact on consolidated results relative to the prior year period.
  3. Corporate and Financing: Q2 2026 net income improved by $2 million year-over-year, and operating/free cash flow each improved by $1 million year-over-year, driven by lower interest costs from reduced outstanding debt. This segment offset net declines from the other two segments to deliver positive consolidated improvement.

Risks & headwinds

  • Geopolitical conflict, global shipping disruptions, and ongoing tariff disputes create market uncertainty, with unknown resolution outcomes that could impact performance
  • Thermal coal faces sustained long-term headwinds from the increasing competitiveness of renewable energy
  • The global soda ash market is currently oversupplied, with prices at unprofitable levels for most producers; domestic soda ash prices are expected to decline as contract renewals close the gap with depressed international spot prices
  • All forward-looking statements are subject to material risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from management's current expectations, as detailed in the company's SEC filings

Analyst Q&A

There were no analyst or investor questions submitted during the Q&A portion of the call. After an open waiting period for questions, the call moved directly to closing remarks from management.

Reported results against consensus at the time of each report · Surprise is computed from the estimate on record · Data as of Nov 4, 2026