MSBI
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · US
Next report
Analyst consensus
- Next report date
- Oct 29, 2026
- EPS estimate
- $0.89
- Revenue estimate
- $82.8M
Latest reported
- Last report date
- Jul 23, 2026
- EPS actual
- $0.82
- EPS estimate
- $0.78
- Revenue actual
- $83.7M
- Revenue estimate
- $80.7M
Track record
Trailing twelve quarters
- EPS beats (12Q)
- 5
- EPS misses (12Q)
- 5
- EPS in line (12Q)
- 1
- Avg surprise (4Q)
- -12.1%
- Revenue beats (12Q)
- 4
Analyst ratings
Sell-side consensus
- Consensus
- Hold
- Price target
- $33
- PT range
- $31 – $35
- Analysts
- 3
Q4 FY2022 · Jan 27, 2023
AI summary of management’s prepared remarks and analyst Q&A · For informational purposes only, not investment advice
Management highlights
- 2022 was a successful year with record earnings, return on assets and tangible equity improved.
- Q4 had strong financial performance despite moderating loan growth; net income included swap gain and charges.
- Loan growth: total loans up 7% annualized, commercial portfolio and Equipment Finance driving growth; community bank in Eastern Illinois and St. Louis had significant loan and deposit growth.
- Net interest: margin down due to deposit cost increase, but average rate on new originations increased.
- Wealth Management: assets under administration up $150 million, revenue slightly increased.
- Non-interest income: included swap gain, and selling commercial mortgage servicing rights portfolio.
- Non-interest expense: up due to non-recurring items; operating expense expected to be $43 - $44 million per quarter.
- Asset quality: generally healthy, non-performing loans up slightly, net charge-offs low, provision for credit losses related to loan growth and economic forecasts.
- 2023 priorities: accelerate exit from GreenSky partnership,推进BaaS platform建设, disciplined expense management, strengthen commercial banking team, invest in wealth management, consider strategic M&A, enhance capital ratios.
Guidance
- 2023 is challenging due to possible recession; loan growth uncertain but commercial banking team, higher growth markets, and Equipment Finance expected to drive loan growth.
- Expect GreenSky balances to come down $100 - $300 million this year, with commercial and equipment business offsetting the headwind.
- Wealth management revenue growth expected to offset MSR sale impact.
- Goal to keep net interest margin relatively stable.
- Exit from GreenSky partnership to have positive impact on liquidity and capital, cash flow can be invested profitably.
- 2023 focus on adding BaaS partners for deposit gathering.
- Loan deposit ratio near 100%, aim to lower it; open to strategic M&A to improve deposit base and market exposure.
Segment performance
For the full year, Midland States Bancorp generated a return on average assets of 1.31% (up from 1.18% in 2021) and a return on average tangible equity of 20.8% (up from 17.9% in 2021). In the fourth quarter, net income was $29.7 million ($1.30 per share), including a $17.5 million gain on termination of forward starting FHLB interest rate swaps and $6.7 million in charges on commercial mortgage servicing rights and impairment on other real estate owned. Total loans increased at a 7% annualized rate, with most growth in the commercial portfolio; Equipment Finance portfolio surpassed $1.1 billion. Community Bank group had solid loan growth, with Eastern Illinois loan portfolio up 22% and St. Louis up 40% for the full year, and double-digit deposit growth in these markets. Net interest income was down slightly due to a decline in net interest margin (decreased 13 basis points from prior quarter). Assets under administration in Wealth Management increased by $150 million. Non-interest income was $33.8 million in Q4, including the $17.5 million swap gain. Non-interest expense was up due to non-recurring items. Non-performing loans increased slightly, but net charge-offs were 3 basis points of average loans, and provision for credit losses on loans was $3 million.
Risks & headwinds
- Economic recession possibility impacting loan quality.
- Uncertainty in GreenSky partnership exit.
- Uncertainty in BaaS platform partnership推进.
- Interest rate changes impacting net interest margin.
- Deposit cost increase pressure.
- Asset quality deterioration risk.
Analyst Q&A
Q: Good morning. Wanted to check in on the loan growth side.
A: GreenSky balances could come down $100 - $300 million this year, commercial and equipment business will help offset headwind.
Q: Maybe just jumping over to the fee income outlook.
A: Wealth management revenue expected to grow and offset MSR sale impact.
Q: Regarding the outlook for margin.
A: Near-term margin pressure from deposit costs, but stable past this month if Fed rates move as expected, equipment finance portfolio turns over quickly with rate pick up.
Q: Can you give us a little guidance on the loan loss provision outlook.
A: Expect more provision than current quarter but not dramatically more if economy mild recession.
Q: Regarding the BaaS partnerships.
A: Focus on deposit driven partnerships, slow to get first partnership right, targeting deposits with rate involved but at lower margin than Fed funds.
Q: On the loan-to-deposit ratio.
A: Ideally closer to 90%, but banking is cyclical, loans sometimes come in faster than deposits.
Q: On the equipment finance portfolio size.
A: Roughly 17% - 18% of total portfolio, would like to be between 15 - 20% on lower end.
Q: On the net interest income trend.
A: Focus on dollars, GreenSky will provide some pressure but flat move expected, and repricing of fixed rate loans at higher rates will help if Fed slows rates down.
Reported results against consensus at the time of each report · Surprise is computed from the estimate on record · Data as of Oct 29, 2026