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GRMN

Garmin Ltd.

NYSE · Technology · Hardware, Equipment & Parts · CH

$277.03
−0.05%
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Analyst consensus

Next report date
Nov 4, 2026
EPS estimate
$2.38
Revenue estimate
$2.0B

Latest reported

Last report date
Jul 29, 2026
EPS actual
$2.81
EPS estimate
$2.31
Revenue actual
$2.0B
Revenue estimate
$1.9B

Track record

Trailing twelve quarters

EPS beats (12Q)
10
EPS misses (12Q)
1
EPS in line (12Q)
1
Avg surprise (4Q)
+12.5%
Revenue beats (12Q)
10

Analyst ratings

Sell-side consensus

Consensus
Hold
Price target
$319
PT range
$289 – $370
Analysts
3
1 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Earnings call summaryRead the full call →

Q2 FY2026 · Jul 29, 2026

AI summary of management’s prepared remarks and analyst Q&A · For informational purposes only, not investment advice

Management highlights

  • Overall Financial Performance

    • Garmin delivered record-breaking Q2 2026 results, extending long-term positive growth trends
    • Gross and operating margin expansion was driven primarily by favorable product mix, with an additional $21 million one-time benefit from a tariff refund
    • Even excluding the tariff refund, margin performance outpaced historical averages, supported by the company's vertically integrated model and strong global team execution
    • All geographic regions delivered revenue growth, led by 13% growth in EMEA, 12% in the Americas, and 7% in APAC
  • New Product Launches & Updates

    • Fitness: Launched entry-level Forerunner 70, mid-tier 4Runner 170 running watches, and the screenless Circus Smartband wellness wearable that does not require a subscription, expanding the segment's addressable market
    • Outdoor: Launched the Approach Z10 compact laser golf rangefinder, and published an annual golf data report confirming growing sport participation
    • Aviation: Launched the D2 Mach 2 Pro aviator smartwatch with in-reach technology, and announced the new Axis family of integrated scalable cockpit displays that reduce installation complexity and cost
    • Marine: Launched the Signal VHF marine radio, and the next-generation LiveScope 2 sonar system which won the Best Electronics award at the 2026 ICAST trade show
    • Auto OEM: Current growth is driven by domain controller sales, as the segment prepares for the 2027 launch of a major new program with Mercedes-Benz
  • Strategic Moves

    • Completed the strategic acquisition of training platforms TrainingPeaks and Train Heroic, which will be integrated into the fitness segment to expand service offerings
    • The new Thailand manufacturing facility is on track and progressing as planned as part of the company's supply chain diversification efforts
    • Garmin was named Best Supplier of the Year for the 11th consecutive year by Embraer for its work on Phenom business jets

Guidance

  • Full year 2026 revenue guidance was raised to approximately $8.05 billion, up from the prior guidance of $7.9 billion
  • Full year 2026 gross margin guidance was increased to approximately 59.7%, 120 basis points higher than prior guidance and 100 basis points higher than 2025 full year gross margin; this guidance includes expected higher memory costs in the second half of 2026 and does not include any additional tariff refund benefits beyond the Q2 2026 recognition
  • Full year 2026 operating margin guidance was raised to approximately 27%, 150 basis points higher than prior guidance
  • Effective tax rate guidance was revised to 16.5%, up from the prior 16% guidance, due to changes in geographic income mix
  • Proforma full year 2026 EPS guidance was raised to $10 per share, up from the prior guidance of $9.35
  • Full year 2026 free cash flow is expected to be approximately $1.4 billion, with total capital expenditures of approximately $550 million
  • Outdoor segment expects stronger revenue performance in the second half of 2026 leading to improved full year growth compared to 2025
  • Auto OEM expects revenue to decline and a return to operating losses in the second half of 2026, with growth resuming in 2027 following the Mercedes-Benz program launch
  • Marine expects full year 2026 growth consistent with 2025 levels, and aviation expects continued full year growth

Segment performance

Consolidated Q2 2026 revenue increased 11% year-over-year to $2.02 billion, with operating income up 30% to $616 million and proforma EPS up 29% to $2.81. Gross margin for the consolidated company was 62.4%, up 360 basis points YoY, and operating margin was 30.4%, up 440 basis points YoY.

  • Fitness: Revenue increased 25% to $757 million, contributing 37.5% of total consolidated revenue. Gross margin was 64%, operating margin was 37%, and operating income was $277 million.
  • Outdoor: Revenue decreased 2% to $483 million, contributing 23.9% of total consolidated revenue. Gross margin was 69%, operating margin was 34%, and operating income was $164 million.
  • Aviation: Revenue increased 8% to $269 million, contributing 13.3% of total consolidated revenue. Gross margin was 75%, operating margin was 27%, and operating income was $72 million.
  • Marine: Revenue increased 14% to $341 million, contributing 16.9% of total consolidated revenue. Gross margin was 61%, operating margin was 29%, and operating income was $100 million.
  • Auto OEM: Revenue increased 1% to $172 million, contributing 8.5% of total consolidated revenue. Gross margin was 22%, operating margin was 2%, and operating income was $3 million (positive on a GAAP basis).

Risks & headwinds

  • Forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain, and actual results may differ materially from guidance due to a range of market and operational risk factors disclosed in Garmin's Form 10-K filing with the SEC
  • Higher memory chip costs, driven by broad AI-related industry demand, are expected to create a margin headwind in the second half of 2026, which has been incorporated into guidance
  • Most other component categories are also facing cost pressure amid broad industry demand trends, though the company has managed these dynamics effectively to date
  • The outdoor segment experienced a 2% YoY revenue decline in Q2 2026 driven by weakness in consumer auto and Adventure Watch product categories
  • Auto OEM is facing a temporary revenue air pocket in 2026 between the peak of the current BMW program and the 2027 launch of the new Mercedes-Benz program

Analyst Q&A

Q: The new Circus Smartband expands Garmin into new screenless wearable form factors. Do users need a Connect+ subscription to access advanced AI features, and will Garmin expand into additional adjacent wearable form factors? / A: All core Garmin Connect wellness and fitness features are included out of the box with no subscription; advanced AI and nutrition tracking via Connect+ can be added as an optional upgrade. Garmin does not comment on specific future product roadmap, but the company has a history of expanding into new categories, so additional new form factors can be expected in line with past practice.

Q: How sustainable is current margin expansion, and what specifically drives the mix tailwind you cite? / A: Garmin does not plan to reverse margin gains, but recognizes higher memory costs will create a headwind in the second half, which is already factored into guidance. Mix improvement comes from higher-margin new product launches growing as a share of overall sales, paired with incremental product cost reductions from vertical integration and scale leverage.

Q: How should investors think about the strategic rationale for acquiring TrainingPeaks and Train Heroic, and what synergies are expected? / A: Traditional cost synergies are not the primary focus. The acquisition enables a full 360-degree training experience for customers: workout data recorded on Garmin devices can be shared directly on the training platforms for coaches to review and provide customized recommendations, creating a more integrated value proposition that complements the existing Garmin Connect and Connect+ ecosystem.

Q: Early demand for the Circus Smartband has been very strong, with sell-outs and 5-8 week ship times. Is this driven by unanticipated demand or supply constraints? / A: The product launch has outpaced all internal demand expectations from both consumers and retail partners. The backlog is driven by both stronger-than-planned demand and limited initial supply, and the company will work through backorders over the coming months. Early customer adoption and tracking data has already been very strong.

Reported results against consensus at the time of each report · Surprise is computed from the estimate on record · Data as of Nov 4, 2026