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ARX

Accelerant Holdings

NYSE · Financial Services · Insurance - Brokers · KY

$19.88
+0.91%
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Analyst consensus

Next report date
Nov 11, 2026
EPS estimate
$0.20
Revenue estimate
$268.6M

Latest reported

Last report date
Aug 13, 2026
EPS actual
$0.32
EPS estimate
$0.16
Revenue actual
$356.9M
Revenue estimate
$279.2M

Track record

Trailing twelve quarters

EPS beats (12Q)
5
EPS misses (12Q)
0
EPS in line (12Q)
0
Avg surprise (4Q)
+50.1%
Revenue beats (12Q)
3

Analyst ratings

Sell-side consensus

Consensus
Hold
Price target
$16
PT range
$14 – $17
Analysts
5
2 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Earnings call summaryRead the full call →

Q4 FY2025 · Mar 19, 2026

AI summary of management’s prepared remarks and analyst Q&A · For informational purposes only, not investment advice

Management highlights

AI is the architecture of the business. Three structural advantages: proprietary decision-ready data, algorithm-supported underwriting, technologically adaptive decentralized MGAs. Fourth quarter beat expectations on exchange-written premium, third-party premium, and adjusted EBITDA. AI empowers members with faster due diligence, quicker member growth, and lower loss ratios for risk capital partners. Six key metrics (three supply-side, three demand-side) show strong business execution.

Guidance

Q1 2026: Exchange-written premium $1.07 - $1.13 billion, third-party direct written premium $450 - $470 million, adjusted EBITDA $64 - $66 million. Full year 2026: Exchange-written premium at least $5.1 billion, third-party direct written premium at least $2.2 billion, adjusted EBITDA at least $275 million.

Segment performance

Exchange services: Q4 revenue $93 million, +46% y/y; adjusted EBITDA $63 million, margin 67%. MGA Operations: Q4 revenue $59 million (excluding non-recurring gain $57 million), adjusted EBITDA $23 million (excluding gain $21 million), margin 36%. Underwriting segment: Q4 revenue $111 million, adjusted EBITDA $13 million, gross loss ratio 51%.

Risks & headwinds

Actual results may materially differ from forward-looking statements. Information in SEC filings' risk factor section. Industry modernization struggles in connecting and synthesizing data across systems.

Analyst Q&A

Q: Roland Banger asked about 4Q adjusted EBITDA above guidance range.

A: Jay said upside from all segments, exchange services beat on volume and take rate up, MGA ops outperformed, underwriting loss ratio 51 contributed.

Q: About quarterly and annual premium guidance.

A: Ryan said size of Canadian member around 50 million USD per quarter impacts Q1 and Q2.

Reported results against consensus at the time of each report · Surprise is computed from the estimate on record · Data as of Nov 11, 2026