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OLYMPIC STEEL INC

OLYMPIC STEEL INC Q4 FY2023 earnings call

February 23, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2023-12

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Summary

Generated 2024-02-23

Management highlights

Strategic Progress - 5 years into strategy to build diversified company, integrated 6 acquisitions, divested assets to focus on higher-return products. - Named Corporate Dealmaker of the Year for Metal-Fab acquisition. ### 2023 Performance - Q4 sales $489M, net income $7.4M, EBITDA $20.9M. - All segments contributed positively; Pipe and tube second most profitable year, Carbon resilient through pricing pressures, Specialty Metals consistent despite headwinds. ### Acquisitions - Invested $170M in Metal-Fab and Central Tube & Bar, immediate strong EBITDA returns, debt at $190M with $339M availability. ### Dividend - Board increased quarterly dividend by 20%, total shareholder return 2023 over 100%. ### Segment Details - Pipe and tube margins to strengthen with CTB integration, Carbon saw growth in higher-margin products and fabrication, Specialty Metals had strong performance in food equipment and truck-trailer. ### End Markets - Strong demand in industrial OEM, fabrication (especially data centers), new fabrication facilities in Buford, GA and Bartlett, IL performing well.

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Segment performance

Pipe and tube business delivered its second most profitable year ever. Carbon business showed resiliency with sales down less than 3% sequentially in Q4 2023 despite pricing challenges, adjusted EBITDA of $7.9 million in Q4 and shipments up 8% QoQ and 6% full year. Specialty Metals faced industry-wide stainless steel headwinds but contributed consistent positive EBITDA, recording its third most profitable full year. Pipe and tube adjusted EBITDA was $40.3 million for the full year, Carbon had adjusted EBITDA of $7.9 million in Q4, and Specialty Metals contributed consistent positive EBITDA.

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Guidance

Capital Expenditures - 2024 capital expenditures expected ~$35M for automation, fabrication, etc. ### Tax Rate - 2024 tax rate expected 27.5%-28.5%. ### Segment Growth - Pipe and tube expects margins to strengthen with CTB integration, Carbon and Specialty Metals to continue growth through market dynamics and operational efforts.

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Risks

Market Pressures - Significant declines in hot-rolled carbon steel pricing (>45% decline) and specialty metal surcharges. ### Industry Headwinds - Stainless steel headwinds and falling nickel prices affecting Specialty Metals. ### Balance Sheet - Potential impact of inventory management and debt levels on future investments.

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Q&A highlights

Q: Question on recent acquisition of Central Tube & Bar and its fit within pipe and tube franchise and future expansion.

A: Andrew Greiff said Central Tube fits under Chicago Tube and Iron segment, has similar equipment, and Rick Marabito mentioned big plans for value-add processing in data centers.

Q: Question on value-add component of business in terms of revenue or volume.

A: Rich Manson said pipe and tube segment aims for 50% of gross margin from value-added work, close to that with CTB acquisition, and Rick Marabito talked about growth in fabrication across segments.

Q: Question on overall demand environment in 2024.

A: Andrew Greiff said industrial OEM volumes down but anticipated, specialty metals have growth in food equipment, truck-trailer, and first quarter growth expected around 10%-12% sequentially.

Q: Question on industry-wide inventory levels at mills and impact on 2024 demand.

A: Andrew Greiff said lead times from carbon mills have come in a bit, hot-rolled and tandem products have shorter lead times.

Q: Question on specialty metals headwinds in 2024.

A: Andrew Greiff said nickel prices hover around 7.50, inventory appropriate, mill lead times good, expecting 2024 to be good growth year.

Q: Question on 2024 acquisitions or divestitures.

A: Rick Marabito said no divestitures planned, active on acquisition side, looking for good fits, M&A market picking up a bit.

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Transcript

February 23, 2024

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