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XPEV

XPeng, Inc.

XPeng, Inc. Q3 FY2024 earnings call

November 19, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-09

EPS · actual vs est

$-0.27 / $-0.30Beat +10.4%

Revenue · actual vs est

$1.44B / $1.46BMiss -1.1%
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Summary

Generated 2024-11-19

Management highlights

  • Deliveries: Delivered 46,533 units in Q3, a 54% QoQ and 16% YoY increase; September deliveries exceeded 20,000 units. - Gross Margin: Gross profit margin reached 15.3% in Q3, the highest in five consecutive quarters. - Product Strategy: Implemented strategic changes in strategies, products, management, and structure; AI investment yielding advantages in product experience and cost efficiency. - Globalization: Accelerating global presence with over 30 countries and 110 sales stores; plans to expand to over 300 stores by 2025. - Upcoming Models: Plan to launch at least four new models in 2025, including extended range products, and update existing models.
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Segment performance

XPeng Inc. reported total revenues of RMB10.1 billion for the third quarter of 2024. Revenues from vehicle sales were RMB8.8 billion, accounting for approximately 87.1% of total revenues, and revenues from services and others were RMB1.31 billion, making up about 12.9% of total revenues. The gross margin was 15.3% in the third quarter, with vehicle margin at 8.6%. The gross profit margin increased to 15.3% due to technology-driven cost reduction and scale growth, achieving a five-consecutive-quarter improvement.

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Guidance

  • Fourth Quarter 2024: Anticipates total deliveries to range from 87,000 to 91,000 units, a QoQ increase of 87% to 95.6% and YoY increase of 44.6% to 51.3%; total revenue expected to be between RMB15.3 billion and RMB16.2 billion, a QoQ rise of 51.5% to 60.4% and YoY increase of 17.2% to 24.1%; cash flow to improve significantly with positive free cash flow in the second half and cash on hand exceeding RMB40 billion by year-end. - Future Margin: Next-generation models' gross margin expected to reach double-digits, moving toward scale profitability.
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Risks

  • Market Competition: Intense competition in the automotive industry, especially in the AI-defined car sector, where winners will need in-depth full-scale self-development capabilities. - Regulatory and Infrastructure: Potential bottlenecks in overseas markets due to insufficient charging infrastructure and varying regulations. - Supply Chain: Possible impact from component shortages, though current mass production of Turing SOCs is progressing well.
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Q&A highlights

Q: On driving technology gap in the next three to five years, how will it evolve and how XPeng ensures consumers appreciate the difference?

A: He Xiaopeng stated the gap will widen as companies need full self-developed R&D combining software and hardware, and XPeng's end-to-end large model solution and whole vehicle capability will set it apart.

Q: About profitability next year, how to narrow loss and turn to profit?

A: Brian Gu mentioned operating leverage narrowing, P7+ with better margin profile, scale effect, R&D spend control, and new models launching to drive continued margin improvement and breakeven toward end of next year.

Q: Export outlook and potential bottlenecks in overseas markets?

A: Brian Gu said overseas is a robust growth market; potential bottlenecks in some markets due to charging infrastructure, but BEV and EREV products have growth opportunities globally.

Q: Gross margin of vehicles in Q3 and Q4 outlook?

A: James Wu said Q3 margin improvement driven by cost reduction and EOP impact; Q4 margin to improve further with P7+ contributing double-digit gross margin.

Q: Details on 2025 new models and volume outlook?

A: Brian Gu said next year will continue momentum, with four new models including extended range, spread over four quarters, and growth more moderate than 2024 but still positive.

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Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$-0.27$-0.30+10.4%$-0.62
Revenue$1.44B$1.46B-1.1%$1.17B

Transcript

November 19, 2024

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