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TEN

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd.

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd. Q3 FY2024 earnings call

November 26, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-09

EPS · actual vs est

$0.67 / $0.79Miss -15.2%

Revenue · actual vs est

$200.2M / $160.0MBeat +25.1%
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Summary

Generated 2024-11-26

Management highlights

  • TEN remains sustainably profitable with steady cash position, increased dividends by 50%.
  • Industrial model with nearly $2 billion of forward contracted accretive revenue and operational excellence.
  • Decarbonization journey with being one of the largest dual-fuel operators, having six LNG Aframax-powered vessels.
  • Diversified fleet spanning crude carriers, product tankers, LNGs, and shuttle tankers.
  • Fleet fair market value around $4 billion, low debt of $1.8 billion, and solid balance sheet.
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Segment performance

For the first nine months of 2024, TEN generated gross revenues of $660 million, operating income of $236 million (including ~$49 million of capital gains), and net income of $157 million, resulting in EPS of $4.62. Adjusted EBITDA for the nine months was up $314 million. In the third quarter of 2024, gross revenues were $200 million, operating income was $57 million, and net income was $26.5 million with EPS of $0.67. The fleet utilization for the 2024 nine months was 92.2%, with a backlog of $1.8 billion. Fleet operating expenses per ship per day decreased by 3.3% from the prior year, while time charter equivalent per ship per day was $33,390.

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Guidance

  • Believes valuation is low compared to major clients' earnings multiples, aiming to achieve fair valuation by explaining industrial model.
  • Anticipates growth with close to $2 billion of new business coming in.
  • Plans to continue renewing and increasing fleet with state-of-the-art vessels, with 12 newbuildings under construction.
  • Dividend policy with second semi-annual common stock dividend of $0.90 on December 20, 2024, totaling $1.50 per common share for 2024.
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Risks

  • Market cyclicality: Need to handle market fluctuations efficiently.
  • Geopolitical sanctions: Potential impact on shipping operations and market competition from grey fleet under sanctions.
  • Regulatory changes: Impact on fleet operations and compliance costs.
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Q&A highlights

Q: How do U.S. elections, potential tighter sanctions on Russia, Iran, and Venezuela affect TEN?

A: Sanctions can benefit first-class operators as grey fleet (older ships) undercutting market is reduced. TEN doesn't navigate in dangerous areas and works with top-tier clients.

Q: Details on newbuild program spending in third quarter and fourth quarter?

A: Approximately $21.5 million remaining for fourth quarter. For 2025, ~$100 million of equity payments expected. Spending varies by vessel pattern.

Q: On dry docking schedule, commercial off-hire in Q4, and G&A expenses?

A: Expected 3-4 vessels in dry docking in Q4, utilization to be higher. G&A increase is a one-off due to share incentive plan, expected to revert lower in Q4.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.67$0.79-15.2%
Revenue$200.2M$160.0M+25.1%

Transcript

November 26, 2024

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