Skip to content
SMPL

Simply Good Foods Co

Simply Good Foods Co Q1 FY2025 earnings call

January 8, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2024-11

EPS · actual vs est

$0.49 / $0.46Beat +6.5%

Revenue · actual vs est

$341.3M / $353.8MMiss -3.5%
Ask about this call

Summary

Generated 2025-01-08

Management highlights

  • Nutritional Snacking Category: Momentum continued in the quarter with about 12% growth driven by volume. All major subsegments (bars, shakes, chips) increased. - Quest: Growth was strong despite chip stock out early in the quarter. Salty snacks business growing 26%, second production line up, new bakeshop items performing well, overload bar platform launched in February, and advertising campaign to drive brand awareness. - Atkins: Q1 performance slightly better than planned, driven by RTD shakes. Revitalization plan in place with new items outperforming replaced ones and advertising campaign positioned as a weight-wellness brand. - OWYN: Leading plant-based brand, expected near-term and long-term distribution growth, with joint R&D team working on extending the brand.
View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

Quest: Q1 retail takeaway growth was 10%. Salty snacks POS growth was 26%. Chips retail takeaway in November and December was about 35%. Bar growth was about 1%. Net sales increased due to the OWYN acquisition. Atkins: Q1 retail takeaway was off 4%, slightly better than planned, driven by ready-to-drink shakes with about 5% retail takeaway growth. OWYN: Leading plant-based ready-to-drink protein shake, expected to double net sales in 3 to 4 years, with positive retailer conversations and integration progressing as planned.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

  • Reaffirmed fiscal year 2025 outlook: net sales growth in 4% to 6% range, adjusted EBITDA growth slightly greater than net sales. - OWYN fiscal year 2025 net sales expected to be in $135 million to $145 million range. - Total company adjusted EBITDA expected to increase 4% to 6%. - Quest fiscal year 2025 retail takeaway growth expected 9% to 10%, drivers include chips momentum, new bakeshop item, overload bar platform, and advertising campaign.
View in transcript ↓

Risks

  • Input cost inflation, particularly cocoa, impacting gross margin. - Proactive reduction of Atkins low ROI investments and lost club distribution pressuring brand performance. - Potential competitive activity in the plant-based segment impacting OWYN.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: Fine-tune expectations on gross margin side, previously discussed around 200 basis points of gross margin compression in each of next 3 quarters. Is this still the outlook?

A: Q1 margin came in better than expected due to favorable commodities, guidance for full year holds around down 200, Q2 expected gross margin decline close to above 300 basis points.

Q: Collaborative discussions with channel customer related to offsetting distribution losses for Atkins, any details on products and placement?

A: Conversations are midway, big fans of Quest and OWYN, hope to share more details by April.

Q: Overall category growth, has expectation changed?

A: Not materially, continue to be excited about high single-digit average growth, mainstreaming of nutritional snacking products.

Q: Shipment timing impact, clarify if entirely for Quest brand and alignment in 2Q?

A: About 2/3 of 3 points timing impact for Quest, Q2 expected shipments and consumption to be much more in line.

Q: Innovation for Atkins Snacks and Quest Bake Shop, how incremental are these products?

A: Atkins new items outperforming replaced ones by 2:1, Quest bakeshop platform 50% incremental to Quest and 30% incremental to category.

Q: OWYN Q1 sales better than expected, sales drivers and potential risks?

A: Q1 sales better than expected, growth from core and multipack, powders growing, significant headroom for distribution and LTO, no major risks noted yet.

Q: Atkins trajectory, more optimistic or January forward headwinds material?

A: Remain confident in long-term trajectory, but short-term actions like reducing low ROI trade will have volume impact, but long-term future strong.

Q: Quest bars, new product launch and differentiation?

A: Need low single-digit growth on bars, new overload platform launching, multiyear innovation pipeline, focus on advertising to drive growth.

Q: Input costs and pricing action, views?

A: Did pricing on RTDs, continue to evaluate commodities, focus on productivity now, no further pricing announced beyond mid-single-digit increase for RTDs.

Q: Atkins optimizing spend, margin implications? OWYN competitive landscape?

A: Reducing low ROI spend, margin implications tied to aligning spend with expectations; OWYN is clear plant-based leader, no major competitive changes noted.

Q: GLP-1 trend, how tapping into it?

A: Atkins advertising references GLP-1 users, launched Atkins Strong as companion, targeted advertising, Quest also benefits, working with customers on category support.

Q: OWYN repeat rate?

A: OWYN repeats improved significantly, tied to product improvements, expected to get better with combined R&D teams

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.49$0.46+6.5%$0.43
Revenue$341.3M$353.8M-3.5%$308.7M

Transcript

January 8, 2025

Full transcript unavailable for redistribution

The structured summary above covers the available call sections. Full transcript text is not included on this page.

Continue exploring

Prior quarters

This page presents the stored structured earnings-call summary and deterministic earnings calendar values. How this is generated. For informational purposes only; not investment advice.