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RCI

Rogers Communications, Inc.

Rogers Communications, Inc. Q2 FY2024 earnings call

July 24, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-06

EPS · actual vs est

$0.85 / $0.83Beat +2.4%

Revenue · actual vs est

$3.73B / $3.76BMiss -1.0%
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Summary

Generated 2024-07-24

Management highlights

  • Rogers delivered strong financial and operating results for 10 consecutive quarters. Wireless had 162,000 mobile phone net additions, 1% ARPU growth, and 65% margins.
  • Network leadership was reaffirmed by Umlaut and Opensignal, recognizing Rogers as Canada's most reliable 5G network and fastest/most reliable Internet.
  • Cable is focused on returning to modest growth in Q4, with revenue down 2% but adjusted EBITDA up 9% and margins at 57%.
  • Internet added 26,000 net new subscribers, driving growth through enterprise, MDUs, TPIA, and 5G home Internet.
  • Media top line grew 7%, with adjusted EBITDA breakeven, expecting profitability in the second half driven by the Toronto Blue Jays and Sportsnet.
  • Consolidated total service revenue increased 1%, adjusted EBITDA up 6%, free cash flow reached $666 million, down $80 million in capital expenditures.
  • Balance sheet had $4.3 billion of available liquidity, weighted average interest rate 4.7%, and target to reduce leverage to 4.2 times by year-end.
View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

Wireless: Service revenue grew 4% year-over-year with adjusted EBITDA up 6%. It had 162,000 mobile phone net additions, including 112,000 postpaid and 50,000 prepaid. ARPU increased 1%, and margins were at 65%. Cable: Revenue decreased 2% but adjusted EBITDA rose 9% with margins expanding to 57%. Internet: Added 26,000 net new subscribers. Media: Top line grew 7% with adjusted EBITDA breakeven, expecting profitability in the second half.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

  • Reaffirmed 2024 guidance.
  • Target to reduce leverage to 4.2 times by year-end.
  • Free cash flow expected in the range of $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion.
  • Capital expenditures were $1 billion in Q2, down 7% from the prior year, with focus on reducing leverage through asset sales and free cash flow.
View in transcript ↓

Risks

  • Competitive market conditions impacting revenue and margins.
  • Seasonality in prepaid subscribers potentially affecting churn.
  • Delays in asset sales due to market softness.
  • Ongoing pricing pressures and competitive dynamics in wireless and cable segments.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: About wireless ARPU and drivers, especially speed, service quality, etc.

A: Network reliability, distribution network, Disney Plus, convenient financing, and bundling are driving factors.

Q: On cable programming costs, how to bring down?

A: Going direct to studios, cutting middleman, and sourcing popular programming at lower margins.

Q: Prepaid uptick and seasonality?

A: Chatr brand was successful, pre-to-post migration is strong, and no expected net negative in future quarters.

Q: Wireless churn and ARPU trends?

A: Churn is elevated in the flanker category, but Rogers brand is improving churn with 5G and unlimited plans.

Q: Cable margin expansion and initiatives?

A: Integration progress, ERP systems, vendor negotiations, fiber backhaul, and media content cost optimization are underway.

Q: TPIA and fixed wireless access?

A: Both are offered with different use cases; TPIA is better for multi-user homes, while fixed wireless is suitable for mobile needs.

Q: Wireless revenue growth and cost rationalization?

A: 4% revenue growth in a competitive market, with AI and digital transactions expected to drive cost reductions.

Q: Cable revenue decline and satellite impact?

A: Satellite drives most of the revenue decline in cable, and video losses are likely seasonal.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.85$0.83+2.4%$0.76
Revenue$3.73B$3.76B-1.0%$3.81B

Transcript

July 24, 2024

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