PLAINS GP HOLDINGS LP
PLAINS GP HOLDINGS LP Q3 FY2024 earnings call
November 8, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-09
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2024-11-08
Management highlights
- Plains delivered a solid operational quarter with adjusted EBITDA expected to be towards the top end of the 2024 range of $2.725 billion to $2.775 billion.
- Permian volume growth remains on track with 200,000 to 300,000 barrels a day range for 2024.
- NGL business on track to complete Fort Saskatchewan Fractionation expansion in first half of 2025.
- Acquired Fivestones Permian gathering system from Rattler Midstream.
- Settled 2 lawsuits related to 2015 oil spill in California, booked $120M charge, resolving material Line 901 claims.
- Moody's upgraded to Baa2 with stable outlook, achieving mid BBB rating at all 3 credit rating agencies.
- Focus on efficient growth strategy, including bolt-on acquisitions and capital allocation towards distributions.
Segment performance
The crude oil segment saw higher Permian volumes contributing to adjusted EBITDA net to PAA of $659 million in the third quarter. The NGL business is on track to complete the Fort Saskatchewan Fractionation expansion project in the first half of 2025. Absolute terms: Crude oil segment had $659M adjusted EBITDA net in Q3; NGL business has Fort Saskatchewan expansion project on track. Revenue contribution % not explicitly stated in the transcript.
Guidance
- 2024 adjusted EBITDA expected towards top end of $2.725B - $2.775B range.
- 2024 adjusted free cash flow ~$1.45B, with ~$1.15B allocated to distributions.
- Capital allocation includes ~$140M for bolt-on acquisitions.
- Moody's upgrade to Baa2 with stable outlook, achieving mid BBB rating at all 3 credit rating agencies.
Risks
- Remaining contingencies related to 2015 oil spill in California, although settlements resolved material claims but $225M insurance claim remains.
- Geopolitical unrest, potential OPEC supply changes, uncertainty around China and broader economic activity.
Q&A highlights
Q: How much of Permian gathering volumes growth is organic vs acquisitions?
A: Substantial portion is organic growth from completions across the system, with modest growth from acquisitions year-over-year.
Q: Thoughts on leverage below target range and future capital deployment?
A: Don't intend to lower leverage range, focused on maximizing free cash flow, optimizing assets, bolt-on acquisitions, and returning cash to shareholders.
Q: Early discussions on 2025 volumes and valuation?
A: 2025 volumes expected within 200,000 - 300,000 bbl/day range, midstream assets highly valued, will be disciplined on transactions.
Q: Thoughts on water business and Canadian platform bolt-ons?
A: Will look at water business if it fits synergy and business profile; Canadian platform focus on Fort Saskatchewan expansion and optimizing core areas, open to bolt-ons that fit synergies.
Q: Impact of TMX start-up on flows and NGL business?
A: TMX start-up reduced heavy exports, improved basin flows for light barrels, and NGL business sees better recoveries off fracs.
Q: Details on Fivestones gathering system acquisition?
A: Asset already connected, integrated barrels into system, similar to other bolt-ons done on smaller scale.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.17 | $0.38 | -55.7% | — |
| Revenue | $12.74B | $13.04B | -2.3% | — |
Transcript
November 8, 2024Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
The structured summary above covers the available call sections. Full transcript text is not included on this page.
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