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NI

NISOURCE INC.

NISOURCE INC. Q4 FY2024 earnings call

February 12, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2024-12

EPS · actual vs est

$0.49 / $0.48Beat +2.3%

Revenue · actual vs est

$1.59B / $1.78BMiss -10.6%
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Summary

Generated 2025-02-12

Management highlights

  • Recapped a successful 2024 with delivery on business plan, focusing on constructive regulatory foundation, operating excellence, and financial commitments.
  • Invested $6.9 billion in capex over 24 months, with regulators approving recovery of $340 million in revenue in 2024.
  • Advanced operational excellence, with safety metrics improving, AI initiative reducing inefficiencies, and Apollo Continuous Improvement Program achieving $77 million in O&M savings.
  • Active on regulatory front with rate case and rider filings, including NIPSCO electric rate case settlement and approvals in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Virginia.
  • Base CapEx plan increased to $19.4 billion due to economic development projects in Indiana and Virginia, with gas utilities driving over 60% of the plan.
  • Progressed data center strategies in Northern Indiana, filing declination petition with IURC for NIPSCO Genco to serve large load customers.
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Segment performance

NiSource Inc. operates in six regulated jurisdictions. Gas utilities drive over 60% of the five-year capital expenditure (CapEx) plan. The company invested $6.9 billion in capex across six states over the last 24 months, with regulatory processes approving recovery of $340 million in revenue in 2024.

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Guidance

  • Raised 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to $1.85 to $1.89 per share, consistent with 6%-8% growth from 2024's $1.75.
  • Five-year base CapEx plan increased to $19.4 billion, driving 8%-10% rate base growth from 2025-2029 and annual adjusted EPS growth of 6%-8%.
  • Upside CapEx plan increased by $400 million to $2.2 billion to reflect need for new generation capacity.
  • Confident in achieving long-term growth rate with continued regulatory progress and prudent capital allocation.
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Risks

Forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties, including state policy and regulation impacts, evolving federal policy mandates, and market conditions affecting capital allocation and returns.

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Q&A highlights

Q: Julien Dumoulin-Smith asked about Genco filing, risk-sharing considerations, and timing of commercial arrangements.

A: Michael Luhrs and Shawn Anderson discussed Genco as a regulated entity protecting existing customers, enabling speed and flexibility for new customers, maintaining financial integrity, and Shawn mentioned balance sheet strength for financing.

Q: Shar Pourreza followed up on data center timing, financing for incremental CapEx.

A: Lloyd Yates and Shawn Anderson said discussions are progressing well, with cash from operations, ATM program, and junior subordinated notes as financing avenues.

Q: Richard Sunderland asked about IURC approval for Genco filing and coal generation.

A: Michael Luhrs said IURC approval needed for Genco entity but not for announcing deals, and discussed coal generation and MISO changes.

Q: Travis Miller asked about La Porte facility status and gas system serving data centers.

A: Michael Luhrs said negotiations with counterparties progress, and gas system serves data centers with CapEx involved.

Q: Durgesh Chopra asked about returns and timing from Genco entity.

A: Lloyd Yates said Genco could provide returns above regulated, and timing is 2025 when contracts are signed.

Q: Steve Fleishman asked about IURC process for Genco filing and customer tone.

A: Michael Luhrs and Melody Birmingham said process is standard, with expected Q3 2025 ruling, and no change in customer tone regarding data centers.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.49$0.48+2.3%$0.53
Revenue$1.59B$1.78B-10.6%$1.42B

Transcript

February 12, 2025

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