EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2023-11-09
Management highlights
- The company is making progress in building an efficient and profitable operating platform. Q3 adjusted EBITDA was positive $2.1 million compared to a loss of $2.8 million last year.
- Carta saw over 30% growth in payments volume driven by existing customers, and is migrating to the Oracle cloud for more efficient scaling.
- Mogo's wealth products offer a passive S&P 500 index strategy with low costs, fractional investing, dividend reinvestment, and MogoTrade focuses on helping users improve performance with educational content and zero commission.
- The team's high-performance culture has contributed to revenue per employee, and the company is focused on long-term organic growth across products.
Segment performance
The company has two main segments: Mogo (including wealth and lending) and Carta (payments business). Q3 revenue was $16.2 million, up from $16 million in Q2 2023, marking the second consecutive quarter of sequential revenue growth. Gross profit increased to $11.4 million with a 70% margin, compared to $10.8 million and 63% margin in Q3 last year. Carta saw Q3 payments volume increase over 30% to $2.4 billion. Mogo's wealth products focus on a passive S&P 500 index strategy with low costs, fractional investing, and dividend reinvestment, while MogoTrade emphasizes helping users improve performance with zero commission, etc. Revenue contribution: Mogo's wealth and lending, along with Carta's payments, contribute to the overall revenue.
Guidance
- Reiterated 2023 adjusted EBITDA target of $7 million to $9 million, with Q4 target of $2.5 million to $3.5 million, aiming for an annual adjusted EBITDA run rate of $10 million to $14 million by year-end.
- Plan to invest cost savings into marketing and technology for 2024 growth, targeting the rule of 40 (revenue growth + adjusted EBITDA margin ≥ 40).
Risks
- Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from projections.
- Regulatory and market risks in fintech and payments.
- Credit environment risks, though Mogo's customer base has weathered previous cycles.
Q&A highlights
Q: How does return to revenue growth in 2024 fit with rule of 40 and levers for adjusted EBITDA?
A: Greg Feller mentioned targeting revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA margin to total at least 40 in 2024, with bias towards growth but remaining adjusted EBITDA positive.
Q: Sixth consecutive quarter of sequential decline in tech spend?
A: Greg Feller said it reflects higher productivity with a smaller team, and in 2024, investments in technology and marketing will increase using cost savings.
Q: State of consumer credit in the business?
A: Greg Feller said Mogo's customer base in Canada has weathered cycles, with continued improvement in credit metrics like charge off rate and delinquencies, and a majority of customers rent, insulated from mortgage payment impacts.
Q: Current repurchase authorization and share buybacks?
A: Greg Feller said there's significant capacity in share buyback authorization, and the trend of buying back shares will likely continue as they see value in the stock.
Q: Growth drivers for payments, wealth, and lending?
A: Greg Feller said growth will be a combination of all three, with wealth and payments expected to grow faster than lending, but lending not a drag on growth.
Q: Balance of marketing for new users vs current user base?
A: Dave Feller said they'll leverage existing member base first, focusing on converting existing users, and balance with paid marketing based on customer lifetime value (LTV) and customer acquisition cost (CAC).
Q: Broader optimization cost efficiency, done with it?
A: Greg Feller said there are still additional initiatives like cloud migration, but they'll invest savings in growth rather than just driving OpEx down.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.08 | $-0.14 | +42.9% | $-0.24 |
| Revenue | $11.9M | $12.2M | -2.2% | $12.6M |
Transcript
November 9, 2023Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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