ALTRIA GROUP, INC.
ALTRIA GROUP, INC. Q3 FY2024 earnings call
October 31, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-09
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2024-10-31
Management highlights
- Underage Tobacco Use: FDA and CDC report encouraging decline in legal tobacco product use among youth, but illicit market remains an issue. - E-vapor Category (NJOY): NJOY showed strong momentum with consumables shipment volume growth >15% in Q3, but illicit nicotine pouches and unclear FDA enforcement on synthetic products are issues. - Oral Tobacco Products (on!): on! reported shipment volume grew 46% in Q3, with repeat purchasers contributing >80% of volume, and grew share to 8.9% in Q3. - Initiative to Modernize Processes: Launching a multiphase initiative aiming for $600M cumulative cost savings over 5 years with initial pretax charges of $100M-$125M.
Segment performance
Smokable Products Segment: Adjusted operating company's income grew 7.1% in Q3 and 0.9% for first nine months. Domestic cigarette volumes declined 8.6% in Q3 and 10.6% for first nine months. Adjusted OCI margins were 63.1% in Q3 and 61.7% for first nine months. Oral Tobacco Products Segment: Adjusted OCI grew 2% in Q3 and 2.7% for first nine months. Third quarter and first nine months adjusted OCI margins were 66.8% and 67.2% respectively. Total segment reported shipment volume increased 1.2% in Q3 but decreased 1.3% for first nine months. Investment in ABI: Recorded $144 million of adjusted equity earnings in Q3, up 0.7% vs prior year.
Guidance
- 2024 Full-Year Adjusted Diluted EPS: Expected to be in range of $5.07 to $5.15, representing 2.5%-4% growth from 2023's $4.95. - Dividends and Share Repurchases: Paid ~$1.7B in dividends in Q3, raised dividend by 4.1% in August. Repurchased 13.5 million shares for $680M in Q3, with $310M remaining under current program to complete by year-end.
Risks
- Litigation: Juul has patent infringement claims against NJOY, with final determinations in late 2024 and early 2025. - Illicit Market: Significant number of illicit nicotine pouch SKUs and synthetic nicotine products, with FDA's unclear enforcement on synthetic products. - Regulatory Uncertainty: Uncertainty around FDA's enforcement of laws regarding synthetic nicotine products and pace of vaping import rulemaking.
Q&A highlights
Q: Reiterated guidance and Q4 puts and takes A: Sal mentioned MSA legal fee expiration and extra shipping day in Q4, comfortable with guidance.
Q: Discount category share dynamics and premium vs discount consumer trends A: Billy attributed to economic strain on consumers, impact of illicit products on discount share.
Q: Guidance maintenance despite strong Q3 A: Sal said dynamic market with illicit products impacting categories, extra shipping day in Q4, but overall comfortable with guidance.
Q: Relative price gap and strategy A: Sal discussed RGM allowing better pricing application, strategy to maximize profitability in combustible category, Marlboro's premium segment growth.
Q: Patent infringement lawsuit against NJOY A: Billy discussed final determination timeline, PMP exemptions for patents, negotiations with JUUL, and contingency with FDA SE applications.
Q: Partnership with Japan Tobacco and proposed vaping import rule A: Billy mentioned JV with JT for Ploom device progressing, no impact from JT's acquisition, and uncertainty on timeline for proposed vaping import rule.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.38 | $1.35 | +2.4% | $1.28 |
| Revenue | $5.34B | $5.32B | +0.5% | $5.28B |
Transcript
October 31, 2024Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
The structured summary above covers the available call sections. Full transcript text is not included on this page.
Continue exploring
Prior quarters
This page presents the stored structured earnings-call summary and deterministic earnings calendar values. How this is generated. For informational purposes only; not investment advice.