EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-05-01
Management highlights
- Delivered strong Q1 results: Net revenues up 17% and adjusted net income up 13% (non-GAAP currency-neutral).
- Successfully executing on secular opportunities in payments, with innovations like contactless capabilities, tokenization, Agent Pay (leveraging agentic tokens, fraud, and cybersecurity solutions), and crypto payments (collaborating with platforms for cryptocurrency spending at Mastercard acceptance locations).
- Focus on consumer payments (e.g., domestic on-soil tokenization in China, partnerships with CIMB Niaga, Grupo Promerica, MTN Mobile Money, Al Etihad Payments), commercial new payment flows (launch of commercial point-of-sale solutions like Business Builder and Mid-Market Accelerator, enhanced invoice payment capabilities via partnership with Corpay), and value-added services (investments in diversified solutions, leveraging AI for fraud scoring, threat prevention, and business insights).
Segment performance
In Q1 2025, on a currency-neutral basis: Payment network net revenue increased 16%, driven by domestic and cross-border transaction and volume growth, including rebates and incentives. Value-added services and solutions net revenue rose 18%, with a 4 percentage point increase from acquisitions and the remaining 15% growth from scaling security, digital, and authentication solutions, as well as demand for consumer acquisition and engagement services. Worldwide gross dollar volume (GDV) increased 9%. In the U.S., GDV grew 7% (credit 6%, debit 8%), and outside the U.S., GDV increased 10% (credit 9%, debit 12%). Cross-border volume globally increased 15% for the quarter. Switch transactions grew 9%, with card-present growth aided by contactless penetration (73% of in-person switch purchase transactions) and card growth at 6%. There are 3.5 billion Mastercard and Maestro-branded cards issued globally.
Guidance
- Full year 2025: Net revenue expected to grow in the low double digits to low teens range (currency-neutral, excluding acquisitions), with acquisitions adding 1-1.5 percentage points. Operating expenses expected to grow in the low double digits range (currency-neutral, excluding acquisitions and special items). Non-GAAP tax rate expected 20%-20.5%.
- Q2 2025: Net revenue growth expected in the low teens range (currency-neutral, excluding acquisitions), with acquisitions adding 1-1.5 percentage points. Operating expenses expected to grow in the low double digits range (currency-neutral, excluding acquisitions and special items), with acquisitions impacting growth. Non-GAAP tax rate expected 20%-20.5%.
Risks
- Macro environment uncertainties: Tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and economic sentiment affecting consumer and business spending.
- Currency fluctuations: Impact on financial results.
- Competition: Potential loss of partnerships or portfolios.
Q&A highlights
Q: Can you give more color on the composition of a cross-border business?
A: Sachin Mehra explains that no cross-border corridor pair is more than 3% of total cross-border volume in 2024, indicating a diversified portfolio. Travel and e-commerce make up the mix, with card-not-present cross-border having seen solid growth, especially post-COVID as the world went more digital.
Q: What's the potential impact of a Cap One Discover deal?
A: Sachin Mehra states that the deal's impact is contemplated in guidance, timing is uncertain as it still needs to progress, but a strong relationship with Discover is expected. Michael Miebach adds that there will be areas of both partnership and competition going forward.
Q: How do you see pricing opportunities moving forward?
A: Michael Miebach says pricing reflects the value provided, with a focus on competitive market pricing. Pricing is based on the value of offerings like safety and security, customer engagement, and insights, with continuous evaluation of opportunities across all offerings.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $3.73 | $3.59 | +4.0% | $3.31 |
| Revenue | $7.25B | $7.13B | +1.7% | $6.35B |
Transcript
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