Skip to content
LINC

LINCOLN EDUCATIONAL SERVICES CORP

LINCOLN EDUCATIONAL SERVICES CORP Q3 FY2024 earnings call

November 11, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-09

EPS · actual vs est

/

Revenue · actual vs est

/
Ask about this call

Summary

Generated 2024-11-11

Management highlights

• Lincoln 10.0 hybrid teaching model: Near completion of first phase rollout, with plan to deploy at nursing programs by mid-2026, aiming to serve ~80% of student population. Enhanced student experience, instructor ability, and operating efficiencies. • Campus developments: East Point campus performed strongly, with Nashville and Philadelphia relocations, Houston campus opening in 2025, and Long Island campus in final lease negotiations. • Program replications: Expanding automotive programs using Electude curriculum, replicating successful programs at existing campuses, expecting $1M each in profitability by third year. • Corporate partnerships: New agreements with Hyundai, Genesis, Tesla, and Container Maintenance Corporation, with potential new partners in discussions.

View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

In the third quarter, total revenue was $114.4 million, an increase of nearly 15% or $15 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $10.2 million, a 67% increase from the prior year. Student starts grew 21.1%, with same-campus start growth at over 15%. The new East Point, Georgia campus contributed $3.4 million to Q3 revenue. Average student population increased by 10.6%, driven by double-digit start growth over four consecutive quarters.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

• Raised full-year 2024 guidance: Revenue $430-435M, adjusted EBITDA $41-43M, adjusted net income $16-18M, student start growth 13-15%, CapEx $50-55M. • Long-term goal: Aim to achieve $550M revenue and ~$90M adjusted EBITDA by 2027.

View in transcript ↓

Risks

• Regulatory uncertainties in states like New York for new campus operations. • Potential impacts of macroeconomic factors on student enrollment and program profitability. • Risks related to achieving growth targets and managing capital expenditures for new campus developments.

View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: Can you provide more color on the Long Island campus plans, including regulatory framework in New York State?

A: We're near finalizing the lease for the Long Island campus. We used the same methodology as East Point, identified untapped market need, and have a partnership with the Greater New York Dealers Association. New York is challenging but we have an established relationship there.

Q: What square footage is the Long Island campus expected to be?

A: Around 65,000 square feet, a bit larger than East Point's 56,000 square feet.

Q: Do you foresee changes in regulation with the new administration and how might it affect SG&A outlays?

A: We expect less burdensome regulations, especially regarding borrower defense for repayment. While can't guarantee specific savings, we hope for a more level playing field which would be beneficial on the margin.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS
Revenue

Transcript

November 11, 2024

Full transcript unavailable for redistribution

The structured summary above covers the available call sections. Full transcript text is not included on this page.

Continue exploring

Prior quarters

This page presents the stored structured earnings-call summary and deterministic earnings calendar values. How this is generated. For informational purposes only; not investment advice.