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LEN

LENNAR CORP /NEW/

LENNAR CORP /NEW/ Q1 FY2025 earnings call

March 21, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2025-02

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Summary

Generated 2025-03-21

Management highlights

Stuart Miller provided a macro and strategic overview, noting the challenging housing market with higher mortgage rates and limited actionable demand. Lennar completed the Millrose spin-off and Rausch Coleman acquisition. Jon Jaffe discussed operational aspects like sales pace, construction costs (down 1% QoQ and 2.5% YoY), cycle time reduction, and asset-light land strategy. Diane Bessette highlighted balance sheet strength, including $2.3B cash, 8.9% debt to total capital, and provided Q2 guidance. Lennar's strategy focuses on consistent volume, asset-light land-light model, and returning capital to shareholders through repurchases and dividends.

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Guidance

Diane Bessette provided Q2 2025 guidance: new orders expected to be 22,500-23,500 homes; deliveries 19,500-20,500; average sales price $390,000-$400,000; gross margin approximately 18%; SG&A 8%-8.2%; financial services earnings $135M-$145M; multifamily breakeven; Lennar others loss $25M-$30M; EPS range $1.80-$2 per share.

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Risks

Challenging housing market with higher mortgage rates limiting actionable demand; affordability and credit issues affecting consumer ability to transact; supply constraints due to underproduction; potential impacts from tariffs and immigration policy; and uncertain consumer confidence impacting transaction urgency.

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Q&A highlights

Q: Stephen Kim asked about normalized operating margin and SG&A/Corporate rate.

A: Stuart Miller and Diane Bessette discussed that normalized margin is higher than current levels, and SG&A is elevated but expected to decrease as efficiencies are embedded.

Q: Alan Ratner inquired about land underwriting and margin lift.

A: Stuart Miller and Fred Rothman mentioned land is being underwritten with current market conditions in mind, and redeployment of cash is a strategic advantage.

Q: John Lovallo asked about purchase accounting and current sales margins.

A: Diane Bessette said purchase accounting impact is ~20 basis points in Q2, and current sales are at around the 18% margin guidance.

Q: Michael Rehaut asked about Millrose impact and cash flows.

A: Stuart Miller and Diane Bessette discussed Millrose's margin impact and cash flow reconciliation, expecting cash flow to align with earnings and stock buybacks to resume.

Q: Susan Maklari asked about cash generation and M&A.

A: Stuart Miller and Jon Jaffe talked about cash generation from land efficiency and strategic M&A opportunities using asset-light approach.

Q: Ken Zener asked about cash flow per unit and share count.

A: Diane Bessette and Stuart Miller explained that efficiencies in production and land strategy offset cash flow considerations, and share count guidance is based on current projections.

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Key numbers

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Transcript

March 21, 2025

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