LAMAR ADVERTISING CO/NEW
LAMAR ADVERTISING CO/NEW Q4 FY2024 earnings call
February 20, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2024-12
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-02-20
Management highlights
- Revenue growth accelerated in Q4 2024 aided by political, local, and programmatic. Full year AFFO per share was $7.99, above guidance.
- Guiding to 2025 AFFO per share in the range of $8.13 to $8.28 with acquisition-adjusted revenue growth ~3% and similar operating expense increase. Dividend increased to $6.20 per share run rate for 2025.
- Digital growth strong in Q4; plan to deploy at least 350 new digital units organically in 2025, also adding via M&A. Sold 20% stake in Vistar Media, received $115M with potential $15M more from escrow.
- Balance sheet well-laddered debt maturity, reduced debt by $136M in 2024, liquidity strong with over $500M total liquidity.
Segment performance
For the quarter, revenue was up 4.1% on an acquisition-adjusted basis compared to Q4 of 2023 across all lines of business. EBITDA grew 3.9% on acquisition-adjusted basis. Full year AFFO per share was $7.99, $0.04 above revised guidance range and $0.17 above original guidance. Billboard business: local and national/programmatic grew 3.5% in Q4; digital increased nearly 8% in Q4, with same-store growth of 3.7% including 30% growth in programmatic. Local and regional sales accounted for approximately 78% of billboard revenue in Q4 and have grown for 15 consecutive quarters.
Guidance
- 2025 AFFO per share guidance: $8.13 to $8.28.
- Anticipate acquisition-adjusted revenue growth ~3% in 2025 with similar operating expense increase.
- Q1 2025 revenue growth modest due to leap year comp in 2024; growth picks up later in the year.
- Dividend increased to $6.20 per share run rate for 2025.
Risks
- Uncertainty in political spending replacing lost revenue in Q4 and beyond.
- Regulatory permitting and construction issues may limit pace of digital unit deployment.
- Interest rate risks, though current rates are manageable with well-laddered debt maturity.
Q&A highlights
Q: Curious if national ad spend is driven by specific vertical or broad-based, and driver of turnaround?
A: Sean mentioned national ad spend recovery, noting ERP conversion impact and vertical differences like entertainment category affecting OUTFRONT's share. Jay added about CapEx and Vistar sale headwinds.
Q: Talk about M&A pipeline and T-Mobile acquisition of Vistar?
A: Sean discussed M&A pipeline with potential $150M deals, and excitement about T-Mobile acquiring Vistar, seeing it as positive for the industry due to T-Mobile's insights and marketing understanding.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $2.21 | $1.49 | +48.7% | $2.10 |
| Revenue | $579.6M | $532.9M | +8.8% | $555.9M |
Transcript
February 20, 2025Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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