EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-05-08
Management highlights
- Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $782M, 5% down from 2024 but 1% above guidance. Operating expenses before certain items were 1% below low end of guidance.
- Net loss in Q1 2025 was $9M vs. $88M net income in Q1 2024. Adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2025 was $160M, down 19% from 2024.
- Reduced outstanding indebtedness by $17M in Q1, finished with lower leverage ratio. Extended and increased accounts receivable securitization facility and revolver.
- Board declared $0.08 per share quarterly dividend. Enhanced local content offerings, entered new sports rights agreements (80% of stations now carry local sports).
- Core ad revenue in Q1 2025 down 8% vs. 2024; political ad revenue $13M vs. guide $2M-$4M. Q2 core ad revenue guided down mid-single digits, NCAA Final Four provided $5M benefit in early April.
Segment performance
Total revenue in the first quarter of 2025 was $782 million, a decrease of 5% from the first quarter of 2024 and 1% above the high end of guidance. Net loss was $9 million in Q1 2025 compared to net income of $88 million in Q1 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was $160 million in Q1 2025, a decrease of 19% from Q1 2024. Political ad revenue in Q1 2025 finished well above expectations, with actual results at $13 million vs. guidance of $2 million to $4 million. 80% of Gray's television stations now carry local sports, equating to 90 stations.
Guidance
- Q2 core ad revenue guided down mid-single digits. Expenses for Q2 guided to remain below inflationary levels. Continues to use free cash to reduce leverage.
- Political ad buys seen for primaries a year away and general elections 18 months away.
Risks
- Uncertainty from trade and tariff developments impacting advertiser confidence. Regulatory environment impact on capital allocation and potential M&A. Difficulty in forecasting due to macroeconomic conditions and political advertising variability.
Q&A highlights
Q: How creative could Gray be with deregulation, attractive options, etc.?
A: Looking for smoke signals from Washington, actively pursuing opportunities like swaps for duopolies, but need waivers/rules.
Q: Impact of affiliate negotiations and reverse comp?
A: Conversations ongoing, hopeful for win-win renewals with networks.
Q: Assembly Atlanta progress, return on investment?
A: ~75-80% occupancy, productions ongoing, guide shows capital neutral this year, returns expected as phases complete.
Q: Political ad cycle comparison between 2026 and 2022 midterm?
A: More ad buys now than last midterm, political ad buys unpredictable.
Q: Cost-cutting impact, visibility to $60M cost reduction?
A: $60M in cost cuts implemented, expenses below inflationary levels, will continue optimizing.
Q: AR securitization and cash balance?
A: AR facility provides liquidity, cash balance managed for repurchases or acquisitions as opportunities arise.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.23 | $-0.49 | +53.1% | — |
| Revenue | $782.0M | $789.7M | -1.0% | — |
Transcript
May 8, 2025Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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