EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2026-11-06
Management highlights
- Record New Awards: Achieved $10.9 billion in new awards, led by the $7.5 billion LNG Canada Full Notice to Proceed, significant copper mining projects in Chile, and extensions in mission solutions.
- Growing Backlog: Ending backlog reached $34.3 billion, the highest level in the decade, with approximately 70% reimbursable, expected to trend toward the 60s as power opportunities convert.
- Supply Chain Strategy: Hosted the third Fluor Supply Chain Summit with 230 global partners to align on collaboration, anticipating $50 billion in procurement spend over four years to ensure delivery certainty amid geopolitical and labor risks.
- Mega-Project Capability: Highlighted a pipeline of 25 megaprojects averaging $4.5 billion in size, leveraging global footprint, AI investments, and ERP replacement to enhance execution efficiency and risk management.
- Capital Allocation: Committed to shareholder returns with $300 million in share repurchases during Q3, maintaining pace for $1.4 billion in repurchases for full-year 2026.
- Operational Improvements: Operating cash flow exceeded expectations at $186 million due to better working capital management, lower-than-expected warranty liabilities on LNG, and strong DOE award fees.
Segment performance
Urban Solutions reported segment profit of $100 million with a 4.3% margin, driven by change orders and improved execution on infrastructure and life sciences projects, offset by a $25 million charge on a mining project. Energy Solutions reported segment profit of $93 million, including a $73 million gain from the EcoFlur sale; underlying operational profit was approximately $20 million (3% margin), reflecting a transition period where mature projects rolled off faster than new awards entered full execution. Mission Solutions reported segment profit of $55 million, up from $34 million year-over-year, driven by improved award fee performance in the DOE portfolio and ramp-up in EPC execution.
Guidance
- Maintained Full-Year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Guidance: Range remains $500–$525 million, implying Q4 adjusted EBITDA of roughly $150–$175 million.
- Full-Year 2026 EPS Guidance: Implied range of $2.70–$2.80, based on expected share repurchase tempo.
- Financial Assumptions: Target adjusted operating cash flow of $430–$460 million; G&A expenses of $180–$190 million (excluding up to $15 million in outside costs for ERP/AI); tax rate of 25%–27%; revenue split of ~65% Urban, 20% Energy, 15% Mission.
- Segment Margin Expectations (GAAP): Approximately 2.5% for Urban, 7% for Energy, and 6.5% for Mission.
- Book-to-Burn Ratio: Expected to approach 1.4 times for full-year 2026, indicating strong award momentum relative to revenue recognition.
- Preliminary 2027 Outlook: Expects low double-digit growth in adjusted EBITDA compared to 2026, excluding one-time closeout benefits and including continued investment spending on technology initiatives.
Risks
- Potential Backlog Reduction: A reimbursable client notified Fluor of changes to project scope late in October, potentially reducing backlog by approximately $2 billion as early as Q4 2026.
- Geopolitical and Labor Risks: Ongoing uncertainties in geopolitical environments, tight labor markets, and logistics disruptions require agile supply chain management.
- Execution Complexity: Megaprojects demand rigorous project controls and financial strength over multiple years, with complexity growing exponentially with size.
- Legacy Project Obligations: Remaining obligations for legacy projects are estimated at around $20 million, expected to impact Q4 investing cash flow entirely.
Q&A highlights
Q: What is the sizing and growth potential of the TerraWolf data center award? / A: Jim Breuer stated the first two buildings represent a low-single-digit multibillion-dollar award. The third building is still being estimated and released later. Conversations are ongoing for potentially other sites, indicating the project could grow beyond the initial announcement.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.77 | $0.80 | -3.9% | $0.68 |
| Revenue | $3.72B | $4.12B | -9.6% | $3.37B |
Transcript
November 6, 2026Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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