CTO Realty Growth, Inc.
CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Q1 FY2026 earnings call
April 29, 2026 · fiscal period ended 2026-03
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2026-04-29
Management highlights
• Retail leasing: Executed 153,000 sq ft of leases, renewals, and extensions with 14% average cash rent increase. Positive leasing at Millennia Crossing with signings of Williams Sonoma and Pottery Barn Kids. Carolina Pavilion at 83% leased with active negotiations. • Out parcels: Signed leases with Swig and Cooper's Hawk, with LOIs for remaining four. Expected to generate low double-digit unlevered yield on $30M investments, deploying in 2027 with full benefit in 2028. • Investment activity: Acquired Palms Crossing in Texas. Madison Yards under contract to close in May. Received full repayment of $30M preferred investment in Waters Creek Village. Completed $75M preferred equity investment in Southwest property with 12% yield. • Balance sheet: Total debt $651.8M at 3/31/2026, weighted average interest rate 4.6%, $125M liquidity, leverage 6.4 times net debt to pro forma adjusted EBITDA. Utilized common ATM program to issue ~733,900 shares for $14.2M net proceeds.
Segment performance
Shopping centers: 97% of total same property NOI for the quarter. Same property NOI for shopping centers increased 6.8% compared to the comparable prior year period, excluding non-recurring items it grew 4.2%. Portfolio was 95.4% leased at quarter end, signed not open pipeline totaled 6.2 million of annual cash base rent representing ~5.5% of in-place annual cash-based rent. Acquired Palms Crossing, a 399,000 square foot open-air center in Texas for $81.6 million. Core FFO for Q1 was $16.9 million, AFFO was $18.2 million. Shopping center properties contributed significantly to NOI growth. Leasing activity included 153,000 square feet of leases, renewals, and extensions with 14% average cash rent increase. Six out parcel opportunities had progress with leases signed and LOIs in place.
Guidance
• Full year 2026 core FFO outlook increased to $2.06 - $2.11 per diluted share. • Full year 2026 AFFO outlook increased to $2.19 - $2.24 per diluted share. • Key assumptions: Investment volume $175M - $250M, shopping centers same property NOI growth 3.5% - 4.5%, G&A expenses $19.7M - $20.2M.
Q&A highlights
Q: What attracted to the new $75 million Southwest Preferred Equity Investment and how about funding and draw schedule?
A: Attracted to the investment, used Waters Creek repayment and balance sheet for funding, lease commencement expected in ~9 months.
Q: Update on remaining 3 vacant anchor spaces?
A: Conversations going well, terms agreed, lease may take 3 months but work on engineering drawings starts immediately.
Q: What leads to high range of investment guidance?
A: Structured investment could push to high end, hope to be more active in next 4 months with recycling in next 3 months.
Q: Cap on structured investments?
A: Likely below 20%, more in line with 15%.
Q: Yield range change?
A: Acquisitions in 7.5% - 8% range, structured finance in 10% - 13% range.
Q: Leasing spreads this year?
A: Spreads should be close to historical range, expiring rents a bit higher but full year should be good.
Q: Timing of sign-not-open pipeline recognition?
A: ~$1.8M in pipeline, mostly Q3, Q4 weighted, full benefit in 2027 except one tenant in early 2028.
Q: Madison disposition cap rate?
A: A bit higher than 6% due to AMC theater.
Q: Hesitancy in leasing?
A: No hesitancy, no pullback in any category.
Q: Impact of M&A on disposition and acquisition outlook?
A: More capital out there, aggressive price point helpful on recycling but not on acquisition, nimbleness an advantage.
Q: Value add upside on AMS Crossing?
A: Below market rents, growth from vacancy and out parcel.
Q: Inclusion of Madison Yards disposition in guidance?
A: No disposition volume listed, only near term in plan is Madison Yards
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.13 | $0.51 | -74.5% | — |
| Revenue | $41.2M | $38.9M | +5.9% | — |
Transcript
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