EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-02-05
Management highlights
- Pat Beyer started by summarizing fourth quarter and full year financial results, noting sales growth and adjusted net income improvements. He highlighted focus on resolving Orthopedic supply challenges, engaging a consulting firm, and growth drivers like AirSeal, Buffalo Filter, BioBrace, and Foot & Ankle portfolio.
- Todd Garner discussed expense side of income statement, with adjusted gross margin improvement in both fourth quarter and full year. He also talked about R&D, SG&A, operating margin, balance sheet, cash flow, and capital expenditures, emphasizing cash engine strength and working capital tailwinds.
Segment performance
For the fourth quarter, Orthopedic business had constant currency growth of 2.4%, while General Surgery had 8.7% constant currency growth. For the full year, Orthopedic sales grew 2.5% in constant currency and General Surgery grew 7.5% in constant currency. AirSeal achieved double-digit growth in 2024 with record capital and disposable sales. Total sales for the fourth quarter were $345.9 million (5.8% Y/Y growth reported, 6% in constant currency), and full year sales were $1.307 billion (5% Y/Y growth reported, 5.3% in constant currency).
Guidance
- 2025 revenue guidance: constant currency revenue growth between 4% and 6%, with currency headwind ~100-120 basis points, resulting in reported revenue range $1.344 billion to $1.372 billion.
- EPS guidance: reported adjusted EPS between $4.25 and $4.40.
- Operating cash flow expected $130 million to $140 million, adjusted EBITDA $270 million to $280 million.
- Excludes tariff impact; discussed potential tariff effects on Mexico/Canada ($45M+ tariff increase possible) and China (expiring Section 301 exemption could lead to tariffs starting June 2025).
Risks
- Supply chain challenges affecting Orthopedic business performance.
- Currency headwinds impacting financial results.
- Uncertainty around tariffs from trade negotiations, including potential impact on costs and pricing.
- Operational improvement project challenges in resolving Orthopedic supply issues and improving gross margins.
Q&A highlights
Q: What is the delta of 150 basis points in growth rate between investor deck midpoint and 2025 guidance?
A: Frustrations from supply chain challenges lingering longer than expected, which led to slower performance, especially affecting sports medicine business.
Q: How is AirSeal expected to perform in 2025?
A: AirSeal is expected to remain a double-digit grower, driven by clinical insufflation importance in robotic surgery and laparoscopy.
Q: What is the conservatism in 2025 guidance?
A: Conservatism due to currency headwinds (50 basis points), operational construction project challenges, and need to prove operational improvement before being more bullish.
Q: What is the clinical data profile of BioBrace?
A: BioBrace is used in almost 50 procedures, has 14 peer-reviewed publications, and 9 clinical studies ongoing, with a large random prospective clinical study on 268 patients expected to have readout data by end of 2026.
Q: Can 2026 see faster bottom line growth?
A: Believes adjusted EPS growth should be twice revenue growth rate longer term, with potential for faster growth once operational improvements are realized.
Q: What gets to the high end of 2025 revenue guidance?
A: More than 2024 performance, with successful resolution of operational challenges and realization of portfolio growth potential.
Q: Thoughts on capital allocation and M&A in 2025?
A: Stay active, but focus on paying down debt to get leverage below 3x unless a compelling asset is available.
Q: Update on Buffalo Filter legislation?
A: 18 US states have approved/enacted legislation, with West Virginia, Virginia, and Minnesota enacting in 2025; globally, other geographies also seeing legislation and caregiver focus.
Q: Thoughts on tariffs and pricing?
A: Difficult to pass tariff pricing onto hospitals, price has been neutral recently with potential slight positive, but inflation window closing.
Q: Cadence of Q1 EPS or margins?
A: Revenue and EPS should travel decently together, with currency headwind relatively even throughout the year, and Q1 having 1 less selling day than 2024.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.34 | $1.20 | +11.7% | $1.06 |
| Revenue | $347.9M | $341.0M | +2.0% | $327.0M |
Transcript
February 5, 2025Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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