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BEPC

Brookfield Renewable Corp

Brookfield Renewable Corp Q4 FY2024 earnings call

January 31, 2025 · fiscal period ended 2024-12

EPS · actual vs est

$-0.06 / $-0.33Beat +81.8%

Revenue · actual vs est

$987.0M / $1.36BMiss -27.7%
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Summary

Generated 2025-01-31

Management highlights

• 2024 was a record year for the business, with 10% FFO per unit growth driven by inflation-linked and contracted cash flows, acquisitions, and organic growth initiatives. • Invested $12.5 billion in outstanding businesses, including investment in Neoen. • Signed contracts for almost 19,000 gigawatt hours per year of generation, a record performance. • Signed landmark renewable energy framework agreement with Microsoft to deliver 10.5 gigawatts of new capacity between 2026 and 2030. • Commissioned a record 7,000 megawatts of new capacity globally. • Generated a record $2.8 billion of proceeds in 2024 from asset recycling at an average 25% IRR. • Balance sheet remains strong with $4.3 billion of liquidity.

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Segment performance

Hydroelectric business generated solid results, with the Colombian business Isagen helping offset weaker hydrology in North America. Wind and solar segments generated record funds from operations, up 30% from the previous year due to contributions from recent acquisitions. Distributed energy, storage, and sustainable solutions segments generated record results, up 78% year-on-year with full year contribution from Westinghouse.

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Guidance

• Expect to build on strong asset recycling momentum in 2025 and deliver larger and more recurring monetizations with healthy returns. • Aim to deliver 12% to 15% long-term total returns for investors while remaining disciplined allocators of capital.

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Risks

• Potential regulatory changes in the US renewables sector, though management doesn't expect material adjustments to policies most impacting the business. • Uncertainty around tariffs and potential higher equipment or steel costs, with plans to pass through such costs in PPA prices. • Market volatility affecting public equities and sector sentiment.

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Q&A highlights

Q: Can you give more context on exceeding targets for the Microsoft framework agreement?

A: The 10.5 gigawatts is the floor, not the ceiling; we expect to deliver well more than that as we have a large development pipeline and strong demand.

Q: Broader updates on replicating framework deals with other corporates?

A: Having discussions with various corporates, with both framework agreements and project-by-project activities showing demand.

Q: Thoughts on developing or acquiring gas-fired generation?

A: Will remain focused on renewables but could consider gas if it accelerates renewables build-out and offers attractive risk-adjusted returns.

Q: How are contracts structured regarding tax subsidies?

A: Increasingly putting adjusters in PPAs to keep development margins whole if tax credits change.

Q: Exposure to tariffs and equipment costs?

A: Would pass through such costs in PPA prices and have procurement frameworks to manage.

Q: Data center growth driven by AI vs other factors?

A: AI is the biggest demand driver, with supply-demand imbalance still in favor of power producers even with new energy-efficient tech.

Q: Share price and capital allocation?

A: Similar to previous market dislocations, will continue executing strategy and consider share buybacks.

Q: Color on framework agreements with suppliers and safe harboring US development plans?

A: Large scale and robust access to capital differentiate us, allowing engagement with large offtakers regardless of formal agreements.

Q: Data center announcements vs PPA contracts?

A: Demand outweighs supply, but advanced pipeline in data center markets has scarcity value, showing high development margins.

Q: Comments on other renewable companies cutting back growth?

A: All renewables companies see demand, but we are well-positioned with focus on mature, low-cost technologies and disciplined funding.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$-0.06$-0.33+81.8%$0.01
Revenue$987.0M$1.36B-27.7%$1.07B

Transcript

January 31, 2025

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