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BEP

Brookfield Renewable Partners LP

Brookfield Renewable Partners LP Q4 FY2023 earnings call

February 2, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2023-12

EPS · actual vs est

$0.01 / $0.00Beat +123.7%

Revenue · actual vs est

$1.36B / $1.09BBeat +24.7%
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Summary

Generated 2024-02-02

Management highlights

  • Connor Teskey noted 2023 was a record year with organic growth, acquisitions, capital deployment, and evolution to a global clean energy super major.
  • Stephen Gallagher discussed how data center demand drives the need for clean power, with Brookfield positioned to benefit from corporate demand for green power.
  • Wyatt Hartley highlighted Q4 FFO of $0.38 (up 9% YOY), full-year record FFO of $1.1 billion ($1.67 per unit, 7% increase YOY), growth activities including new capacity commissioning, major acquisitions contributing to FFO, balance sheet strengthening via non-recourse financing and capital recycling, and share repurchases.
View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

2023 was a record year for Brookfield Renewable with record funds from operations, record capital deployment into attractive opportunities, and development of more capacity than ever. However, specific breakdown by product segments was not detailed in the transcript.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

  • Brookfield is confident in achieving 10% plus FFO per unit growth in 2024 and beyond.
  • Announced an over 5% increase to the annual distribution to $1.42 per unit, the 13th consecutive year of at least 5% annual distribution growth.
View in transcript ↓

Risks

  • Rising interest rates and supply chain challenges in the sector.
  • Basis risk in development activities where market conditions could shift against projects.
  • Reliance on certain business models that may not work under current economic conditions, requiring capital or operating partners to stabilize.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: Sean Steuart asked about corporate PPA price terms, trend, and contract duration.

A: Connor Teskey said there's a supply-demand imbalance in favor of those with ready-to-build projects, allowing pass-through of higher costs to off-takers, and significant demand for long-term corporate contracts.

Q: Robert Hope asked about data center development pipeline and market share.

A: Connor Teskey said Brookfield can proactively work with counterparties to identify locations, has strong relationships with large off-takers, and scale and reliability make it a preferred partner for large tech companies.

Q: Rupert Merer asked about production shortfall to LTA and curtailment.

A: Connor Teskey explained hydrology variability in hydro assets and operational improvements in acquired businesses contribute to shortfall, with curtailment not a material driver.

Q: Mark Jarvi asked about M&A competitiveness and asset sales.

A: Connor Teskey said stabilization in interest rates increased interested parties, but some business models still face challenges, and there's an active investment opportunity set with more activity but not back to pre-pandemic levels.

Q: Nelson Ng asked about South American development pipeline and solar panel manufacturing.

A: Connor Teskey said hydrology changes in Brazil slowed development, and exposure to solar panel manufacturing is through Avaada Energy with a focus on attractive risk-adjusted returns.

Q: David Quezada asked about M&A inbounds post-Origin deal.

A: Connor Teskey said inbounds are across regions but these are long-term, multi-year deals requiring courtship and education.

Q: Benjamin Pham asked about distribution and growth rate reconciliation.

A: Connor Teskey said distribution increase is based on driving best returns with capital, and they've been at the low end of the 5%-9% range due to attractive growth opportunities.

Q: Moses Sutton asked about contracted vs spot power prices and upfinancing.

A: Connor Teskey said contract profile is likely to stay similar, and upfinancings are due to timing and robust financing environment for hydro assets

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.01$0.00+123.7%$-0.16
Revenue$1.36B$1.09B+24.7%$1.20B

Transcript

February 2, 2024

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