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BBVA

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA Q3 FY2024 earnings call

October 31, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-09

EPS · actual vs est

$0.52 / $0.48Beat +9.0%

Revenue · actual vs est

$9.56B / $9.37BBeat +2.0%
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Summary

Generated 2024-10-31

Management highlights

  • Strong NII growth of 3.5% YOY due to activity and NIM management.
  • Net fees and commissions up 28% YOY.
  • Industry-leading efficiency ratio at 38.9%.
  • Stable asset quality metrics.
  • Sound capital position with CET1 ratio at 12.84%.
  • Strategic progress: 8.5 million new customers acquired in first nine months of 2024, 67% via digital; €71 billion channeled into sustainable business in first nine months of 2024.
View in transcript ↓

Segment performance

Spain: Loan growth accelerated vs last year, 1.5% YOY, with most profitable segments like consumer and credit cards growing. NII increased 7.3% YOY, fees grew 11% YOY, efficiency ratio improved to an impressive 34.6%. Mexico: Earnings reached close to €4.2 billion in first nine months of 2024, growing above 5% YOY. Loan growth accelerated to 12.3% YOY, NII grew 8.3% YOY, fees grew, efficiency ratio below 30%. Turkey: Net attributable profit €433 million in first nine months of 2024. NII under pressure due to high funding costs, fees grew, cost of risk normalizing. South America: Net profit €471 million in first nine months of 2024. Revenues positive, NII driven by loan growth, fees strong, but Argentina had NII decrease due to lower inflation and rates.

View in transcript ↓

Guidance

  • Expect 2025 return on tangible equity levels similar to 2024.
  • Sabadell transaction pending final regulatory approvals, expected to be value-creating for shareholders.
  • Cost of risk in Turkey expected to normalize, with interest rates in Turkey anticipated to come down next year.
View in transcript ↓

Risks

  • Currency depreciation impacts, especially in Mexico.
  • Potential regulatory challenges in Turkey.
  • Short-term volatility around key currencies, including Mexican peso.
  • Hyperinflation accounting impacts in Argentina.
View in transcript ↓

Q&A highlights

Q: In Spain, how are you containing growth in deposit costs and what's the outlook considering the forward curve?

A: Managing deposit costs firmly; cost of deposits came down 1 basis point in the quarter, expecting lower rate environment to feed through deposit costs going forward.

Q: On Mexico, with U.S. elections next week, how are clients behaving and how will it affect day-to-day business?

A: Quarterly lending growth in Mexico has been 2.9%, pipelines and future lending realization are strong; short-term volatility due to elections is not new and Mexican franchise is expected to continue performing strongly.

Q: On Turkey, what's the risk of cost of risk going out of hand and what are you doing to protect the book?

A: Cost of risk in Turkey is normalizing within guidance; expected interest rates to come down next year, and a government restructuring program will help going forward.

Q: On Argentina, have you considered pre-releasing or collapsing the P&L?

A: Argentina is a relevant part of the business, with efforts to address economic imbalances; expected economy to normalize, and hyperinflation accounting impact to diminish with lower inflation.

View in transcript ↓

Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.52$0.48+9.0%
Revenue$9.56B$9.37B+2.0%

Transcript

October 31, 2024

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