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ARLO

Arlo Technologies, Inc.

Arlo Technologies, Inc. Q3 FY2024 earnings call

November 7, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-09

EPS · actual vs est

$0.11 / $0.10Beat +10.0%

Revenue · actual vs est

$137.7M / $121.4MBeat +13.4%
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Summary

Generated 2024-11-07

Management highlights

• The services business was a key driver, with paid subscribers growing 255,000 to 4.2 million, service revenue up 21% to $61.9 million, and service gross margin exceeding 77%. • Arlo Secure 5.0 was launched at the end of Q3, with early positive results including over 40% sign-up for premium plans (versus historical <20%) and ARPU on new subscribers exceeding $14. • The market remains softer generally, but Arlo is being aggressive with pricing to drive unit sales and household subscriptions, targeting nearly double Q4 North America retail POS from Q3. • Strong partnership with Verisure in Europe, which was renewed for five years, and phase 2 of the Allstate partnership was announced with Arlo Security Solutions marketed to Allstate's 6 million home insurance customers. • Capital allocation plan includes organic investment, development of Arlo Secure 6.0, potential acquisitions, and a $50 million share buyback program.

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Segment performance

Total revenue for Arlo Technologies' Third Quarter 2024 was $137.7 million, up 6% year-over-year. Service revenue accounted for approximately 45% of total revenue, an increase from 39% in the same period last year. Paid subscribers reached 4.2 million, with an increase of about 255,000 during the quarter. Service revenue in Q3 was a record $61.9 million, representing a 21% year-over-year growth. Retail and direct ARPU for paid accounts reached a new high of $12.24 per month.

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Guidance

• Fourth quarter total revenue is expected to be in the range of $116 million to $126 million. • Expected to exceed the full-year services business guidance of $240 million with service gross margin around 80%. • Non-GAAP net income per diluted share is expected to be between $0.07 and $0.13 per share.

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Risks

• General macroeconomic conditions can impact the business. • Consumer purchase decisions shifting to lower price points leading to declining ASPs and lower product revenue/gross margins. • Intense market promotional activity affecting product pricing and margins.

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Q&A highlights

Q: Jacob Stephan asked about Q4 POS nearly doubling sequentially and clarification on device shipments.

A: Matthew McRae explained that POS refers to cameras driving subscribers, not including accessories, and Arlo expects nearly double Q4 North America retail POS for cameras.

Q: Mark Cash inquired about Allstate partnership go-to-market strategy and Europe regional divergence.

A: Matthew McRae discussed Allstate phase two leveraging emails and in-app messaging to reach its large user base, and Europe regional differences due to market dynamics, timing, and Verisure's strategic stock-in decisions.

Q: Hamed Khorsand asked about the impact of ASP decline on new subscribers and competition with insurance partners.

A: Matthew McRae stated early indications suggest similar performance with new subscribers, and there is less competition in strategic account partnerships as partners seek trustworthy innovators in the security space.

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Key numbers

Reported versus consensus

Earnings calendar feed

MetricReportedConsensusDeltaPrior year
EPS$0.11$0.10+10.0%$0.09
Revenue$137.7M$121.4M+13.4%$130.0M

Transcript

November 7, 2024

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