Algonquin Power & Utilities Cor
Algonquin Power & Utilities Cor Q2 FY2024 earnings call
August 9, 2024 · fiscal period ended 2024-06
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2024-08-09
Management highlights
- Successfully sold renewables business for $2.5B, with $2.28B cash and $220M earn-out; expect to close in late 2024/early 2025 with net cash ~$1.6B.
- Progress on regulated business: Reorganized along commodity lines, implemented customer-first enterprise platform, added 3 experienced board members, Sarah MacDonald appointed Chief Transformation Officer, Johnny Johnston left.
- Investments not in rates: Over $1B in assets not authorized in rates, e.g., Sarival Wastewater Treatment Plant and customer-first SAP program; rate case filings delayed in MO, NH, CA shifting recoveries to 2026.
Segment performance
Regulated Services Group: In Q2 2024, BELCO in Bermuda received a final order authorizing a $33.6 million revenue increase over 2 years, with new rates effective 8/1/2024. NY filed a joint proposal with NY DPS staff. Pending 14 rate reviews totaling $131M as of quarter end. Renewable Energy Group: Construction on track, construction loan balance fell to $405M due to buyout of projects, expected to rise to similar level by year-end with completion of Carvers Creek and Clearview. Financial results: Adjusted EBITDA was $311 million, up 12% y-o-y. Adjusted net earnings were $65.2 million, up 16% y-o-y. Adjusted net earnings per share was $0.09, up 13% y-o-y. Revenue contributions: Regulated grew 7%, renewables grew 31%.
Guidance
- Expect to close renewables sale in late 2024/early 2025, using proceeds to recapitalize balance sheet.
- 2025 earnings impacted by rate case timing; delays in some jurisdictions shift recoveries to 2026.
- Reduced dividend, focusing on capital-light growth trajectory to improve returns, with dividend payout ~60%-70% of optimized core regulated earnings power on current assets.
Risks
- Delays in rate case filings in Missouri, New Hampshire, and California, shifting recoveries closer to 2026, impacting short-term earnings.
- System implementation causing delays in rate case filings during post-conversion adjustment period.
Q&A highlights
Q: What does the walk down of net cash proceeds of $1.6 billion from the sale price look like?
A: Primarily related to construction loans, with little tax friction.
Q: Is the construction debt off balance sheet or yet to be incurred?
A: Construction debt balance was lower as of Q2, expected to rise to similar level by year-end with completion of Carvers Creek and Clearview.
Q: Thoughts on the valuation of 11.5x to 12.5x next year's EBITDA?
A: Seen as excellent multiples, reflecting strong development pipeline and organization.
Q: 60%-70% payout ratio from starting point?
A: Set based on current regulated assets, including $1B of investments not in rates.
Q: How long will the capital-light approach last?
A: Depends on rate case progress, expected to be a few years, focusing on improving accountability and returns.
Q: Capital allocation with proceeds?
A: Primarily debt repayment, with flexibility for buybacks and utility growth as balance sheet strengthens.
Q: Change in tone around utility spend?
A: Focus on discipline in capital investment to ensure proper recovery and value for shareholders.
Q: Proceeds use and cash balance expectation?
A: Will continue to optimize capital structure, plan Investor Day update closer to renewables sale closure.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
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Transcript
August 9, 2024Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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