EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-02-18
Management highlights
- Q4 marked a solid year of growth with mid-single-digit topline growth and margin expansion. - Product launches included Schlage XE360 series, Smart Lock integration with Airbnb, Schlage Indication Solutions, Von Duprin 70 series, and SimonsVoss AX2Go. - 2024 M&A amounted to $137 million with five bolt-on acquisitions, including Boss Doors, Dorcas, Krieger Specialty Products, Unicel Architectural, and SOSS Door Hardware. - Returned cash to shareholders via dividends (11th consecutive increase) and share repurchases ($220 million). - Strong cash generation, balance sheet, and pipeline of opportunities for future capital deployment.
Segment performance
Americas Segment: Q4 revenue was $750 million, up 6.4% on a reported basis and 4.6% on an organic basis. Organic growth included favorable price and volume. Residential business was up high-single-digits, non-residential increased mid-single-digits organically. Americas adjusted operating income was $205.1 million, up 8.9% versus prior year, with adjusted operating margin up 70 basis points. International Segment: Q4 revenue was $195.6 million, up 1.5% on a reported basis and down 0.7% organically. International adjusted operating income was $30.9 million, down 4.3% versus prior year, with adjusted operating margin down 100 basis points due to lower volumes.
Guidance
- Total Allegion revenue growth expected 1% to 3%, organic revenue growth 1.5% to 3.5%, with approximately one point from acquisitions and 1.5 points headwind from foreign currency. - Americas organic revenue growth expected low to mid-single-digits. - International organic revenue expected relatively flat. - Adjusted earnings per share outlook $7.65 to $7.85 (1.5% to 4% growth over prior year). - Available cash flow expected 85% to 90% of adjusted net income. - Tariffs: Guidance includes currently enacted tariffs on China (imports <5% of COGS), and potential tariffs on Mexico (20%-25% of COGS sourced from Mexico), with pricing actions anticipated to offset impact.
Risks
- Macroeconomic challenges in International, particularly in Germany. - Impact of potential tariffs on Mexico, which could require pricing actions. - Exit of operations in China, which was a headwind to 2024 international organic growth.
Q&A highlights
Q: Jeff Sprague asked about price-cost productivity investment equation and impact of tariffs on steel/aluminum.
A: Mike Wagnes said pricing in Q4 stepped down due to rebate accrual timing, core pricing still decent; John Stone said impact of steel/aluminum tariffs on non-residential business is very small as non-res is largely sourced/produced in US.
Q: Julian Mitchell asked about adjusted operating margin in guidance.
A: Mike Wagnes said expected margin expansion in 2025, lower end of prior framework (50-100 basis points), similar seasonality to 2024.
Q: Joe O'Dea asked about margin expansion across organization.
A: Mike Wagnes said Americas expected to lead margin expansion, international expected to expand, corporate has normal inflation increase.
Q: Timothy Wojs asked about non-res business quoting activity and M&A pipeline.
A: John Stone said non-res business accelerated in 2024, M&A environment healthy with high-quality targets in pipeline.
Q: Brett Linzey asked about organic sales outlook phasing and tariffs on Mexico.
A: Mike Wagnes said phasing similar to 2024; John Stone said pricing actions to offset Mexico tariff impact would be implemented.
Q: Christopher Snyder asked about Q4 tariff pull forward and Q1 impact.
A: Mike Wagnes said mid-single-digit millions tailwind in Q4 for Americas resi, expected headwind in Q1, majority of institutional project work from local funding sources insulated from government layoff uncertainty.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.86 | $1.75 | +6.3% | $1.68 |
| Revenue | $945.6M | $921.2M | +2.7% | $897.4M |
Transcript
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