EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-04-24
Management highlights
- ADT Inc. ended the quarter with a record RMR of $360 million, up 2%, and gross attrition at 12.6%.
- Focused on unrivaled safety, innovative offerings, and premium customer service experience. Expanded ADT Plus platform, with increasing customers selecting it, including new direct residential customers.
- Launched ADT Trusted Neighbor and ADT Plus translator, receiving positive customer feedback. Customer satisfaction at a three-year high.
- AI efforts in customer care: 90% of customer service chats processed by AI agents, resolving many issues without live agent interaction.
- State Farm partnership showing progress, available in 17 states with innovative solutions. Executive team changes: Fawad Ahmad as Chief Operating and Customer Officer, Omar Khan as Chief Business Officer; Don Young to leave in June.
Segment performance
Monitoring and services revenue was up 2%, driven by a record recurring monthly revenue (RMR) balance of $360 million, also up 2%. Installation revenue was $184 million, up $57 million or 45%, driven by outright sales doubling compared to the prior year due to the transition to the ADT Plus platform. Total revenue was up 7% to $1.3 billion. Adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter was $661 million, an increase of 4%.
Guidance
- Reaffirmed full-year guidance ranges: adjusted free cash flow (including interest rate swaps) up 14%, adjusted earnings per share up 8%, total revenue and adjusted EBITDA up 5%.
- Monitoring and services revenue expected to be up ~2%. Transition to outright sales pressures adjusted EBITDA margins.
- Tariffs could pressure midpoints of guidance, but company believes can manage net exposure within ranges. Second quarter revenue expected slightly higher due to more installation revenue; adjusted free cash flow similar to first quarter, adjusted EBITDA and EPS similar to or slightly lower than prior quarter due to timing items and potential tariff effects.
Risks
- Macroeconomic uncertainty affecting new subscriber ads but contributing to customer retention.
- Tariffs posing potential higher equipment costs, with mitigation plans in place including negotiating with partners, managing inventory, considering price increases.
- Uncertainty around tariff exclusions, carve-outs, and timing impacting financial results.
Q&A highlights
Q: Attrition record, room for improvement, ideal range?
A: Jim DeVries said attrition was 12.6% in quarter, 50 basis points better than last year; nonpayment cancels flat, relocation losses and voluntary losses better; NPS scores improved, call metrics improving; new initiatives like proactive with at-risk customers, white glove treatment for new customers; longer term aim to lower attrition. Jeff Likosar added ADT reports attrition on gross basis, so if considering sign-ups, closer to Jim's described ranges.
Q: Update on inflation outlook and revenue with inflation?
A: Jeff Likosar said tariffs are an avenue for material cost inflation, but overall outlook includes price escalations and richer pricing mix; no additional specific updates on inflation beyond tariff impact.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.21 | $0.20 | +5.0% | $0.16 |
| Revenue | $1.27B | $1.26B | +0.3% | $1.21B |
Transcript
April 24, 2025Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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