United Parcel Service, Inc.
United Parcel Service, Inc. Q2 FY2026 earnings call
July 28, 2026 · fiscal period ended 2026-06
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2026-07-28
Management highlights
Completed Amazon Glide Down and Network Reconfiguration
- Successfully completed the 18-month plan as designed, eliminating 2 million pieces per day of low-quality Amazon volume, reconfiguring and automating the U.S. network, and removing $4.5 billion in related expenses (with additional savings expected through the end of 2026)
- Reduced nearly 30,000 operational positions in the first half of 2026, closed 45 buildings (with more closures planned for the second half), and expects $3 billion in total benefits from the initiative in 2026
- The resulting network is leaner, more automated, and more agile, with incremental volume carrying materially better economics than before the restructuring
Technology Investments for Efficiency and Differentiation
- Completed full deployment of RFID sensing technology across all U.S. delivery facilities and package cars, and is expanding deployment internationally; all packages shipped at 5,500 UPS Stores are now RFID-enabled
- RFID eliminates hundreds of millions of annual manual scans and generates real-time package data, which is paired with an AI-powered digital twin of the global network to enable dynamic, near-real-time optimization of routing and planning for disruptions
- These technologies improve efficiency, end-to-end visibility, and customer experience, creating a competitive differentiator
Premium Volume Growth Focus
- SMB: U.S. SMB average daily volume grew 4.3% year-over-year in Q2, with broad-based growth across nearly all industries. B2B Digital Access Program (DAP) average daily volume grew 34% year-over-year, and global DAP revenue hit $1.4 billion, the third consecutive quarter over $1 billion
- Healthcare: Global healthcare revenue exceeded $3 billion for the second consecutive quarter. Added 27 new temperature-controlled cross-stock facilities to expand global cold chain capabilities; UPS is the only carrier offering end-to-end complex healthcare logistics with owned assets, enabling full control, visibility, and service quality
- Industrial & Automotive: Expanded North American U.S.-Mexico air freight services and launched a dedicated 300+ specialist team focused on automotive and industrial manufacturing customer supply chain needs to address shifting trade patterns and supply chain disruption
- International: Momentum is building in Asia, with China-U.S. trade lane returning to year-over-year growth in May 2026 and strong double-digit growth in Asia-to-Asia export volume following prior regional investments
Segment performance
- U.S. Domestic: Generated $14.9 billion in revenue, a 6% year-over-year increase, contributing 65.35% of total consolidated revenue. It delivered $1.2 billion in operating profit, a 21% year-over-year increase, with an operating margin of 8% (up 100 basis points year-over-year). Total average daily volume declined 3.3% year-over-year, almost entirely driven by the planned Amazon Glide Down; adjusted for Amazon and other lower-yielding volume cuts, average daily volume grew year-over-year. SMB average daily volume increased 4.3% year-over-year, and SMBs made up 34.5% of total U.S. volume (up 250 basis points year-over-year). Revenue per piece grew 9.3% year-over-year, outpacing cost per piece growth by 130 basis points.
- International: Generated $5 billion in revenue, a 12.5% year-over-year increase, contributing 21.93% of total consolidated revenue. Operating profit was $623 million, down $59 million year-over-year, with an operating margin of 12.4% (down 120 basis points year-over-year, mostly due to higher fuel costs). Total average daily volume declined 5.8% year-over-year, but China-U.S. trade lane returned to year-over-year growth starting in May 2026, and Asia-to-Asia export volume increased 13.6% year-over-year. Revenue per piece grew 18.9% year-over-year.
- Supply Chain Solutions: Generated $2.9 billion in revenue, an 8% year-over-year increase, contributing 12.72% of total consolidated revenue. Operating profit was $291 million, up $79 million year-over-year, with an operating margin of 10.2% (up 220 basis points year-over-year, the third straight quarter of margin expansion). Forwarding revenue grew 8.1% driven by higher international air freight rates; logistics revenue grew 4.3% driven by healthcare logistics growth; UPS Digital (including Happy Returns) grew revenue over 30% year-over-year.
Guidance
- UPS raised its full-year 2026 consolidated guidance based on better-than-expected first half results: new guidance is ~$91.2 billion in total revenue (up from prior outlook), ~$8.65 billion in consolidated operating profit (up from prior outlook), and ~$7.22 diluted earnings per share (up from prior outlook)
- U.S. Domestic: Full-year 2026 revenue expected to be ~$60 billion (up 1% year-over-year) with an operating margin of ~7.5%. Q3 2026 expects mid-single digit average daily volume decline (reflecting seasonality and completed Amazon Glide Down), ~flat year-over-year revenue, and a 7% operating margin. Second half 2026 U.S. Domestic operating margin expected to be ~8.8%, with year-over-year margin expansion in both Q3 and Q4
- International: Full-year 2026 expects mid-single digit revenue growth driven by strong revenue per piece growth, with operating margin in the mid-teens. Q3 2026 expects mid-single digit revenue growth and operating margin between 13% and 14%
- Supply Chain Solutions: Full-year 2026 expects high single-digit revenue growth driven by forwarding and healthcare logistics, with operating margin between 10% and 11%. Q3 2026 expects low double-digit year-over-year revenue growth and operating margin between 10% and 11%
- Full-year 2026 capital expenditures remain guided at ~$3 billion; full-year free cash flow expected to be ~$5.5 billion (including Driver Choice Program one-time payments), and total annual dividends expected to be ~$5.4 billion (subject to Board approval)
Risks
- Ongoing conflict in the Middle East has driven fuel price volatility, which increased both Q2 2026 revenue and corresponding fuel costs; the conflict also required additional network redirection costs (including leased aircraft block hours) for international operations, negatively impacting international segment margins
- The Teamsters union contract will be up for renegotiation by 2028, creating potential future labor uncertainty
- External macro factors including ongoing trade policy changes, shifting trade patterns, tariffs, and de minimis regulation changes have created volume volatility across key trade lanes (including Canada-U.S. and Europe exports)
- Increased competitive pressure from other carriers (including FedEx entering the DAP space and Amazon expanding enterprise shipping services) creates risk of customer and share erosion
Q&A highlights
Q: With the Amazon Glide Down complete, what gives management confidence in sustained U.S. domestic margin expansion, and is there a long-term margin target? / A: Automation is driving sustained productivity gains: 68.5% of U.S. volume now flows through automated buildings (up from 64% a year prior), and automated buildings have 28% lower cost per piece than non-automated facilities. Management has also right-sized network capacity, eliminating 2 million pieces per day of low-yield volume, 50 million annual operational hours, nearly 78,000 operational positions, and ~150 buildings since 2024, cutting structural network costs. Base pricing runs 250-350 basis points annually, and management maintains a 50-100 basis point spread between revenue per piece and cost per piece growth, which will drive ongoing margin accretion as the company grows premium volume.
Q: How does UPS plan to gain SMB and B2B share against competitors targeting the same segments? / A: UPS differentiates through unique enabling capabilities that competitors cannot match. It is the only carrier that owns all assets in end-to-end complex healthcare cold chain logistics, delivering full control and visibility unmatched by competitors. New capabilities like RFID-enabled end-to-end package tracking have already won new high-value customers (e.g., converting a high-end jeweler from a competitor by eliminating the need for on-site security during loading and providing full origin-to-destination visibility). Additional differentiators include industry-leading box-free label-free return capabilities via Happy Returns and 5,500 UPS Store locations, and top-tier on-time delivery performance.
Q: Following the Amazon drawdown, what is Amazon's current share of UPS revenue, and what is the expected long-term growth profile for Amazon volume relative to the rest of the business? / A: Amazon currently represents 9% of UPS total revenue, down 100 basis points year-over-year and down from a COVID peak of over 13%. Amazon remains an important customer, and management will continue to optimize the volume mix of Amazon business in partnership with the company, focusing on high-quality profitable volume.
Q: What is the long-term outlook for capital expenditure levels after the network buildout is complete? / A: The historical 4.5-5 billion dollar annual capital spend reflected multi-year network buildout that is now largely complete. A sustainable long-term run rate is approximately 3.5% of annual revenue, so capital dollars will grow gradually as revenue grows, resulting in a structurally lower run rate than prior peak buildout periods. Management will continue to invest opportunistically in high-return growth projects, such as the recent 27 new cold chain facilities and $50 million North American air freight expansion for automotive customers.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.76 | $1.65 | +6.7% | — |
| Revenue | $22.80B | $21.86B | +4.3% | — |
Transcript
July 28, 2026Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
The structured summary above covers the available call sections. Full transcript text is not included on this page.
Continue exploring
Prior quarters
This page presents the stored structured earnings-call summary and deterministic earnings calendar values. How this is generated. For informational purposes only; not investment advice.