Union Pacific Corporation
Union Pacific Corporation Q4 FY2025 earnings call
January 27, 2026 · fiscal period ended 2025-12
EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2026-01-27
Management highlights
Jim Vena mentioned the Union Pacific team's strong recovery from a significant weather event. Jennifer Hamann discussed fourth quarter financials, noting operating revenue decrease, freight revenue details, and expense drivers. Kenny Rocker provided insights on segment performance and 2026 outlook, focusing on business groups and macro indicators. Eric Gehringer reviewed safety, service, and operational results, including record safety performance, freight car velocity, and capital plan for 2026 with $3.3 billion in capital spending.
Segment performance
Bulk segment: Revenue for the quarter was up 3% compared to last year on a 3% increase in volume. Industrial segment: Revenue was up 1% for the quarter on a 1% increase in volume. Premium revenue for the quarter declined 6% on a 10% increase in volume and a 5% increase in average revenue per car. Intermodal volumes were challenged by lower West Coast imports and customer shifts, but 2025 was the best ever year for domestic intermodal.
Guidance
2026 earnings outlook is in the mid single digit range. Plan to spend $3.3 billion on capital improvements. Committed to attaining three-year CAGR of high single to low double digit EPS growth through 2027. Expect to improve operating ratio versus 2025 and remain industry leader in operating ratio and return on invested capital.
Risks
Regulatory process for merger with Norfolk Southern has some steps to complete. Potential impact of regulatory changes on competition. Weather-related cleanup costs and potential lost revenue from prolonged customer shutdowns.
Q&A highlights
Q: Jonathan Chappell asked about margin improvement in 2026 and drivers.
A: Jennifer Hamann said price may not be a driver, but productivity and business mix will help.
Q: Jordan Alliger asked about $2 billion net revenue gains from merger.
A: Jim Vena and Eric Gehringer discussed confidence in available business and network handling.
Q: Ken Hoexter asked about EPS guidance and CapEx reduction.
A: Jennifer Hamann and Jim Vena talked about EPS guide and CapEx sizing relative to network needs.
Q: David Vernon asked about regulator's switching rule change impact.
A: Jim Vena supported competition and customer optionality.
Q: Chris Wetherbee asked about intermodal business and customer relationships.
A: Jim Vena and Kenny Rocker discussed customer benefits and service focus.
Q: Walter Spracklin asked about operating ratio improvement.
A: Jim Vena said they will continue to improve operating ratio through better operations.
Q: Elliot Alphron asked about 2026 volume and pricing assumptions.
A: Jennifer Hamann and Kenny Rocker talked about outperforming markets and price dollars exceeding inflation.
Q: Scott Group asked about STB decision confidence.
A: Jim Vena expressed confidence in merger's benefits for customers and employees.
Q: Tom Wadewitz asked about volume growth during merger approval.
A: Jim Vena said Union Pacific is focused on growing business.
Q: Brandon Miclinski asked about reciprocal switching and competition.
A: Kenny Rocker and Eric Gehringer discussed competing and customer optionality.
Q: Stephanie Moore asked about pricing opportunity.
A: Kenny Rocker and Jim Vena talked about service driving price and rail being more competitive than truck.
Q: Ariel Rosa asked about STB regulatory impact.
A: Jim Vena said he's not worried about regulatory impact on synergy targets.
Q: Megan asked about compensation per employee increase.
A: Jennifer Hamann and Eric Gehringer discussed net compensation and offsetting efforts through process improvements and technology.
Q: Brian Ossenbeck asked about labor resource buffer and M&A comments.
A: Eric Gehringer and Jim Vena talked about hiring plan and M&A confidence.
Q: Madison asked about weather impact on quarter.
A: Jennifer Hamann said weather caused some cleanup cost but no significant lost revenue.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $2.86 | $2.87 | -0.2% | $2.91 |
| Revenue | $6.08B | $6.12B | -0.5% | $6.12B |
Transcript
January 27, 2026Full transcript unavailable for redistribution
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