EPS · actual vs est
Revenue · actual vs est
Summary
Generated 2025-10-29
Management highlights
- Strategic realignment continues to deliver positive results, with third quarter revenue up 31% YOY and ARR growing 17% YOY.
- Achieved second consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA and positive operating cash flow.
- Unified corporate identity under the Stem brand and streamlined product portfolio within the PowerTrack suite.
- Launched PowerTrack EMS for hybrid and stand-alone storage projects, which unlocked new markets and received strong customer reception.
- Advanced strategic priorities for 2025, including driving software and services revenue growth, revamping software development, and reducing cost structure with concrete results in Q3.
- PowerTrack Sage, an AI-powered assistant, on track for limited beta release in December 2025 and broadly available in 2026.
- Managed services revenue had strong recurring base revenue growth of 14% YOY and 4% sequentially.
- Consultative professional services offering continues to drive repeat business and cross-selling.
Segment performance
In Q3 2025, Stem reported revenue of $38 million, up 31% year-over-year. ARR grew 17% year-over-year to $60 million. PowerTrack software revenue increased 10% year-over-year with ARR expanding 19% year-over-year. Managed services revenue was down year-over-year due to onetime overperformance in the prior year. Battery hardware resale brought in $4 million this quarter. GAAP gross margins were 35% and non-GAAP gross margins were 47%. Software and services revenue growth was evident, with the platform managing nearly 34 gigawatts of solar assets.
Guidance
- Revised revenue guidance to $135 million to $160 million from prior $125 million to $175 million, with software and service revenue range $125 million to $140 million and lower battery hardware resale expectations up to $20 million.
- Raised gross margin guidance to 40% to 50%.
- Adjusted EBITDA guidance revised to between negative $5 million and positive $5 million.
- Operating cash flow guidance adjusted to between negative $5 million and positive $5 million.
- Year-end ARR forecast remains $55 million to $65 million.
Risks
- Policy uncertainty remains a macro headwind, but the diversified software-centric model and international strategy aim to mitigate impact.
Q&A highlights
Q: Justin Clare asked about guidance update, whether outlook moderated.
A: Arun Narayanan said guidance ranges tightened, mainly due to deemphasized OEM hardware resale business, but still tracking toward midpoint/high end of ranges.
Q: Justin Clare inquired about Q4 gross margin compression.
A: Brian Musfeldt said compression in Q4 is due to mix shift with higher edge hardware deliveries at slightly lower margin.
Q: Jon Windham asked about customer feedback and path to net income positive.
A: Arun Narayanan said momentum in customer engagements is maintained, and more guidance on income statement progression will be provided in future calls.
Q: Thomas Roche asked about benefit from hyperscaler data center build-out and OpEx run rate.
A: Arun Narayanan said Stem watches data center market for renewable energy plays, and Brian Musfeldt said cash OpEx is managed with ongoing savings efforts after large cuts in prior quarters.
Key numbers
Reported versus consensus
Earnings calendar feed
| Metric | Reported | Consensus | Delta | Prior year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-2.84 | $-1.85 | -53.5% | $-4.20 |
| Revenue | $38.2M | $43.6M | -12.4% | $29.3M |
Transcript
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